Douanes Nouakchott vs Al-Merreikh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
13/12/2024 at 14:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MAURITANIA: Ligue 1 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Agab R. (Pen),
  • 12', 1 - 1, ,
  • 28', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 86', 🟥,
  • 90', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Douanes Nouakchott
29.6%
Draw
30.3%
Al-Merreikh
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 30.3% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 31.1% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Douanes Nouakchott has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Douanes Nouakchott's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Merreikh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Merreikh's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Douanes Nouakchott than the current prediction. (+16.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Douanes Nouakchott, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Merreikh than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Merreikh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Douanes Nouakchott - Al-Merreikh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.09
    (2.02)
    3.02
    (3)
    2.28
    (3.68)
    9.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 3).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Al-Merreikh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Douanes Nouakchott will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Douanes Nouakchott
    Latest results of Al-Merreikh
    Mauritania Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nouadhibou19136033:72645
    2Douane19124335:201540
    3Pompiers2098324:19535
    4Nzeidane1893626:27-130
    5Nouakchott Academy1975725:19626
    6Chemal2075823:26-326
    7Gendrim2068619:22-326
    8Police20510525:21425
    9SNIM18510321:18325
    10Tevragh-Zeina1949621:22-121
    11Nouakchott King's2049724:26-221
    12Kaedi1836914:26-1215
    13Inter Nouakchott20261218:35-1712
    14Ksar20251315:35-2011

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