Pioneros de Cancún vs Dragones Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
28/02/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, ,
  • 39', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 1, ,
  • 77', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Pioneros de Cancún
59.8%
Draw
23.3%
Dragones Toluca
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 24.5% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 23.6% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pioneros de Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Dragones Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pioneros de Cancún than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dragones Toluca than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Pioneros de Cancún - Dragones Toluca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.57)
    3.88
    (3.65)
    5.34
    (4.8)
    10.7%
    (11.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12).
    • Pioneros de Cancún has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dragones Toluca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Dragones Toluca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pioneros de Cancún is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pioneros de Cancún won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pioneros de Cancún - Dragones Toluca were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Dragones Toluca - Pioneros de Cancún 2:0
    Latest results of Dragones Toluca
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Racing de VeracruzBye
    2Tigres de AlicaHalcones2 : 1, 0 : 2
    3Alacranes de DurangoBye
    4SantiagoZacatepec2 : 3, 1 : 1
    5Deportiva VenadosClub Calor2 : 1, 1 : 0
    6TapachulaTritones Vallarta1 : 1, 0 : 1
    7ApodacaBye
    8TecosInter Playa Del Carmen0 : 0, 0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Racing de VeracruzHalcones0 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Alacranes de DurangoZacatepec1 : 1, 2 : 2
    3Deportiva VenadosTritones Vallarta1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ApodacaInter Playa Del Carmen3 : 1, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1HalconesAlacranes de Durango1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Deportiva VenadosApodaca4 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Alacranes de DurangoDeportiva Venados