Result
0:3
11/12/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - League phase - Round 5
- Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | SuperSport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | Canal+ Live 15 |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+ |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Kosovo | RTK 1 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 16 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 14 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (177/260) | 88% (484/548) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 45 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (177/260) | 88% (484/548) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (21/74) | 55% (27/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 39% (22/57) | 78% (134/171) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 3.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.53 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Mijnans S. ⚽, Jensen I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Abazaj K. ↓, Krasniqi Bl. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 2, Jensen I. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
- 62', Ajzeraj A. ↓, Balaj L. ↑,
- 62', Manaj A. ↓, Soumahoro M. ↑,
- 63', Limaj V. ↓, Mustafa I. ↑,
- 64', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
- 65', Weslley Patati 🟨,
- 67', Pellumbi J. 🟨,
- 74', Soumahoro M. 🟨,
- 75', Weslley Patati ↓, Sin M. ↑,
- 75', Parrott T. ↓, Sadiq I. ↑,
- 75', Jensen I. ↓, Daal R. ↑,
- 81', Ovouka R. ↓, Arthur M. ↑,
- 82', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Dijkstra E. ↑,
- 89', Mustafa I. 🟨,
- 90', 0 - 3, Sadiq I. ⚽, de Wit M. (A),
Chances of winning
Drita Gjilan
11.8% | Draw
19% | AZ Alkmaar
69.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AZ Alkmaar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Drita Gjilan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-18.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Drita Gjilan - AZ Alkmaar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.07 ↑
(5.71) |
4.98 ↑
(4.3) |
1.36 ↓
(1.49) |
5.9%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Drita Gjilan - AZ Alkmaar?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Drita will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). AZ will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 47.5% – 89.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - Drita (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +2 - Drita (1.40) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - AZ (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): AZ Alkmaar will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Drita (votes: 4 - 44.4%). AZ (votes: 5 - 55.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri.
- Drita is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- AZ has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Drita may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, AZ is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Drita: Mesa J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in AZ: Clasie J.
(Ankle Injury)
Kasius D.
(Injury)
Maikuma S.
(Knee Injury)
Meerdink M.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Drita: Manaj A.
(Injury)
Soumahoro M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in AZ: Zeefuik L.
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Drita Gjilan won against AZ Alkmaar?
Drita Gjilan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AZ Alkmaar won against Drita Gjilan?
AZ Alkmaar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Drita Gjilan - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
Latest results of Drita Gjilan
Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | KuPS (21) | Lech Poznan (11) | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Noah (19) | AZ Alkmaar (14) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Sparta Prague (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Zrinjski (23) | Crystal Palace (10) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | AEK Larnaca (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Jagiellonia (17) | Fiorentina (15) | 4 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Rakow (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Shkendija (22) | Samsunspor (12) | 0 : 4, 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Drita (20) | Celje (13) | 2 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | AEK Athens (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Lausanne (9) | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 14 | Mainz (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Omonia (18) | Rijeka (16) | 1 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Strasbourg (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Lech Poznan (11) | Shakhtar Donetsk (6) | |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar (14) | Sparta Prague (4) | |
| 3 | Crystal Palace (10) | AEK Larnaca (8) | |
| 4 | Fiorentina (15) | Rakow (2) | |
| 5 | Samsunspor (12) | Rayo Vallecano (5) | |
| 6 | Celje (13) | AEK Athens (3) | |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc (24) | Mainz (7) | |
| 8 | Rijeka (16) | Strasbourg (1) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
