Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish FAI Cup Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers
Result
1:2 penalties
12/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FAI Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
irelandIrelandLOI TV, RTE 2, RTE Player

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
514
Shots on target
38
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
514
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
75
Goalkeeper Saves
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Burke G. , Mandroiu D. (A),
  • 31', Heeney L. 🟨,
  • 37', Brennan R. 🟨,
  • 42', Mandroiu D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Brennan R. , Doyle P. ,
  • 58', Gaffney R. , Noonan M. ,
  • 61', Heeney L. , Farrell S. ,
  • 61', Thomas J. , Stretton J. ,
  • 74', Bolger J. , Kareem D. ,
  • 75', Mandroiu D. , McEneff A. ,
  • 75', Burke G. , Greene A. ,
  • 85', Doyle P. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Healy M. , O'Neill G. ,
  • 90+2', Watts D. , Nugent D. ,
  • 90+3', Grace L. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 1 - 1, Quinn A. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Stretton J. , Oluwa T. ,
  • 96', Davis W. , Cooper G. ,
  • 117', Greene A. , McGovern J. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, McGovern J. (Pen),
  • 1, Keeley C. (Pen),
  • 2, Noonan M. (Pen),
  • 2, Oluwa T. (Pen),
  • 3, Grant D. (Pen),
  • 3, Lambe O. (Pen),
  • 4, O'Neill G. (Pen),
  • 4, Doyle P. (Pen),
  • 5, McEneff A. (Pen),
  • 5, Quinn A. (Pen),
  • 6, Cleary D. (Pen),
  • 6, Markey D. (Pen),
  • 7, Lopes R. (Pen),
  • 7, Kareem D. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Drogheda United
13.6%
Draw
25.8%
Shamrock Rovers
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.5% 25.2% 51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1% 24.8% 52.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Drogheda United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Drogheda United's form might have worsened.
  • Shamrock Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shamrock Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Drogheda United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamrock Rovers than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shamrock Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.16
    (3.87)
    3.78
    (3.6)
    1.6
    (1.77)
    2.8%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 0.
    • In recent matches, Drogheda United has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shamrock is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Recently, Shamrock has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Shamrock is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:35. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Drogheda United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers were as follows:
    31.08.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda United 2:1
    16.06.2025 Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers 1:2
    09.05.2025 Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda United 3:0
    14.03.2025 Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers 1:2
    18.10.2024 Drogheda United - Shamrock Rovers 0:1
    Latest results of Drogheda United
    Latest results of Shamrock Rovers
    Draw
    2025

    1/32-finals
    1Treaty UnitedBye
    2ByeDerry City
    3DroghedaBye
    4Crumlin UtdLucan Utd4 : 2
    5Shamrock RoversBye
    6ByeWexford
    7North End UnitedCastlebar Celtic1 : 4
    8ByeLongford
    9KerryBye
    10ByeAthlone
    11College CorinthiansBangor Celtic1 : 2
    12ByeCobh Ramblers
    13MidletonKillester Donnycarney0 : 6
    14ByeBohemians
    15DundalkBye
    16ByeSligo Rovers
    17Finn HarpsBye
    18ByeUC Dublin
    19BrayBye
    20Wayside CelticRiver Valley4 : 0
    21Cork CityBye
    22Leicester Celtic AFCFanad United2 : 1
    23WaterfordBye
    24St Mochta'sDouglas Hall4 : 0
    25St. PatricksBye
    26Ringmahon RangersUniversity College Cork1 : 3
    27Fairview RangersBaldoyle Utd.4 : 0
    28ByeShelbourne
    29SalthillLiffey Wanderers2 : 1
    30St. Michaels (WO.)Usher Celtic
    31GalwayBye
    32TolkaJanesboro3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Treaty UnitedDerry City1 : 5
    2DroghedaCrumlin Utd5 : 0
    3Shamrock RoversWexford4 : 0
    4Castlebar CelticLongford3 : 6
    5KerryAthlone2 : 1
    6Bangor CelticCobh Ramblers0 : 2
    7Killester DonnycarneyBohemians0 : 7
    8DundalkSligo Rovers0 : 2
    9Finn HarpsUC Dublin3 : 0
    10BrayWayside Celtic3 : 0
    11Cork CityLeicester Celtic AFC3 : 0
    12WaterfordSt Mochta's5 : 1
    13St. PatricksUniversity College Cork8 : 0
    14Fairview RangersShelbourne0 : 4
    15SalthillSt. Michaels1 : 0
    16GalwayTolka2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Derry CityDrogheda1 : 2
    2Shamrock RoversLongford2 : 1
    3KerryCobh Ramblers2 : 0
    4BohemiansSligo Rovers0 : 1
    5Finn HarpsBray3 : 1
    6Cork CityWaterford2 : 1
    7St. PatricksShelbourne2 : 0
    8SalthillGalway0 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1DroghedaShamrock Rovers1 : 2
    2KerrySligo Rovers4 : 3
    3Finn HarpsCork City0 : 3
    4St. PatricksGalway3 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Shamrock RoversKerry
    2Cork CitySt. Patricks3 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1Cork City