Result
5:3
03/05/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 36
- Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
Croatia | SportKlub |
Germany | Magenta Sport |
Serbia | SportKlub |
Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
Slovenia | SportKlub |
Match Stats
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Ball Possession |
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54% | 46% |
Goal Attempts |
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20 | 9 |
Shots on Goal |
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9 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
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6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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17 | 19 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 2 |
Offsides |
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2 | 4 |
Throw-ins |
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20 | 29 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 4 |
Fouls |
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17 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 2 |
Attacks |
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87 | 104 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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73 | 45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Girth B. ⚽, Castaneda S. (A),
- 32', Taffertshofer U. 🟨,
- 32', Esswein A. 🟨,
- 35', Bitter J. ↓, Feltscher R. ↑,
- 37', Thiel M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Beleme D. ⚽, Gozusirin T. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 46', Stierlin N. ↓, Bakalorz M. ↑,
- 46', Egerer F. ↓, Herzog A. ↑,
- 46', Pledl T. ↓, Bakir A. ↑,
- 46', Esswein A. ↓, Kother T. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Girth B. ⚽, Kother T. (A),
- 54', Girth B. ↓, Ginczek D. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 3, Castaneda S. ⚽, Engin A. (A),
- 63', Farrona-Pulido M. ↓, Drinkuth F. ↑,
- 63', Velasco R. ↓, Lehnfeld M. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 3, Drinkuth F. ⚽, Lehnfeld M. (A),
- 72', 3 - 3, Beleme D. ⚽,
- 76', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 77', 4 - 3, Lehnfeld M. ⚽, Beleme D. (A),
- 83', Beleme D. ↓, Akono C. ↑,
- 83', Taffertshofer U. ↓, Varol Y. ↑,
- 90+4', 5 - 3, Gozusirin T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Lübeck 26.3% | Draw 26% | Duisburg 47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lübeck's form might have worsened.Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duisburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lübeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duisburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lübeck - Duisburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.53 ↑ (2.83) |
3.6 ↑ (3.4) |
1.97 ↓ (2.38) |
6.8% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lübeck - Duisburg?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Duisburg will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Duisburg will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lübeck won against Duisburg?
Lübeck has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Duisburg won against Lübeck?
Duisburg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lübeck - Duisburg were as follows:
02.12.2023
Duisburg
-
Lübeck
1:0
Latest results of Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Duisburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
2 | Cottbus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
3 | Saarbrucken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
4 | Verl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
5 | Mannheim | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
6 | RW Essen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
7 | Regensburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
8 | Ingolstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Munich 1860 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | TSV Havelse | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Alemannia Aachen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
12 | VfL Osnabruck | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
13 | Hoffenheim II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Hansa Rostock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wehen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Aue | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Ulm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Schweinfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Viktoria Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Stuttgart II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation