Result
5:3
03/05/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 36
- Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 87 | 104 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 73 | 45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Girth B. ⚽, Castaneda S. (A),
- 32', Taffertshofer U. 🟨,
- 32', Esswein A. 🟨,
- 35', Bitter J. ↓, Feltscher R. ↑,
- 37', Thiel M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Beleme D. ⚽, Gozusirin T. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 46', Stierlin N. ↓, Bakalorz M. ↑,
- 46', Egerer F. ↓, Herzog A. ↑,
- 46', Pledl T. ↓, Bakir A. ↑,
- 46', Esswein A. ↓, Kother T. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Girth B. ⚽, Kother T. (A),
- 54', Girth B. ↓, Ginczek D. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 3, Castaneda S. ⚽, Engin A. (A),
- 63', Farrona-Pulido M. ↓, Drinkuth F. ↑,
- 63', Velasco R. ↓, Lehnfeld M. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 3, Drinkuth F. ⚽, Lehnfeld M. (A),
- 72', 3 - 3, Beleme D. ⚽,
- 76', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 77', 4 - 3, Lehnfeld M. ⚽, Beleme D. (A),
- 83', Beleme D. ↓, Akono C. ↑,
- 83', Taffertshofer U. ↓, Varol Y. ↑,
- 90+4', 5 - 3, Gozusirin T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Lübeck
26.3% | Draw
26% | Duisburg
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lübeck's form might have worsened.Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duisburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lübeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duisburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lübeck - Duisburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(2.83) |
3.6 ↑
(3.4) |
1.97 ↓
(2.38) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lübeck - Duisburg?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Duisburg will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Duisburg will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lübeck won against Duisburg?
Lübeck has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Duisburg won against Lübeck?
Duisburg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lübeck - Duisburg were as follows:
02.12.2023
Duisburg
-
Lübeck
1:0
Latest results of Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 53:39 | 14 | 52 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 47 |
| 4 | Verl | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 61:40 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Munich 1860 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44:37 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Wehen | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
| 7 | Hansa Rostock | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 8 | RW Essen | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 50:44 | 6 | 43 |
| 9 | Mannheim | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43:47 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 38:35 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ingolstadt | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 45:36 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 | Hoffenheim II | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 51:48 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Stuttgart II | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 33:44 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | Alemannia Aachen | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 43:48 | -5 | 32 |
| 16 | Saarbrucken | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 35:38 | -3 | 29 |
| 17 | Aue | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:45 | -15 | 24 |
| 18 | Ulm | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 35:55 | -20 | 24 |
| 19 | TSV Havelse | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 36:56 | -20 | 20 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt | 26 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 23:61 | -38 | 11 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
