Lübeck vs Duisburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 3 Bundesliga Lübeck - Duisburg
Result
5:3
03/05/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 36
  • Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportKlub
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Goal Attempts
209
Shots on Goal
96
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
51
Free Kicks
1719
Corner Kicks
62
Offsides
24
Throw-ins
2029
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Fouls
1713
Yellow Cards
22
Attacks
87104
Dangerous Attacks
7345

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Girth B. , Castaneda S. (A),
  • 32', Taffertshofer U. 🟨,
  • 32', Esswein A. 🟨,
  • 35', Bitter J. , Feltscher R. ,
  • 37', Thiel M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Beleme D. , Gozusirin T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 46', Stierlin N. , Bakalorz M. ,
  • 46', Egerer F. , Herzog A. ,
  • 46', Pledl T. , Bakir A. ,
  • 46', Esswein A. , Kother T. ,
  • 48', 1 - 2, Girth B. , Kother T. (A),
  • 54', Girth B. , Ginczek D. ,
  • 56', 1 - 3, Castaneda S. , Engin A. (A),
  • 63', Farrona-Pulido M. , Drinkuth F. ,
  • 63', Velasco R. , Lehnfeld M. ,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Drinkuth F. , Lehnfeld M. (A),
  • 72', 3 - 3, Beleme D. ,
  • 76', Castaneda S. 🟨,
  • 77', 4 - 3, Lehnfeld M. , Beleme D. (A),
  • 83', Beleme D. , Akono C. ,
  • 83', Taffertshofer U. , Varol Y. ,
  • 90+4', 5 - 3, Gozusirin T. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lübeck
26.3%
Draw
26%
Duisburg
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 27.6% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 28.7% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lübeck's form might have worsened.
  • Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duisburg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lübeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duisburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lübeck - Duisburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (2.83)
    3.6
    (3.4)
    1.97
    (2.38)
    6.8%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lübeck - Duisburg?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Duisburg will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 21.4%67.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Duisburg will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lübeck - Duisburg were as follows:
    02.12.2023 Duisburg - Lübeck 1:0
    Latest results of Lübeck
    13.04.2024 Unterhaching - Lübeck 4:1
    06.04.2024 Lübeck - Verl 0:0
    31.03.2024 Viktoria Köln - Lübeck 1:0
    Latest results of Duisburg
    27.04.2024 Duisburg - Sandhausen 3:1
    20.04.2024 Ingolstadt - Duisburg 2:0
    07.04.2024 Rot-Weiß Essen - Duisburg 4:1
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Duisburg11002:113
    2Cottbus10103:301
    3Saarbrucken10103:301
    4Verl10102:201
    5Mannheim10102:201
    6RW Essen10101:101
    7Regensburg10101:101
    8Ingolstadt10101:101
    9Munich 186010101:101
    10TSV Havelse10100:001
    11Alemannia Aachen10100:001
    12VfL Osnabruck10100:001
    13Hoffenheim II10100:001
    14Hansa Rostock00000:000
    15Wehen00000:000
    16Aue00000:000
    17Ulm00000:000
    18Schweinfurt00000:000
    19Viktoria Koln00000:000
    20Stuttgart II10011:2-10

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