Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish League Two Dumbarton - Edinburgh City
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 15', Durnan M. 🟨,
  • 31', Stokes J. 🟨,
  • 36', Tomlinson S. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Mahon R. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Mahon R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', Lawson I. 🟨,
  • 52', Roy A. , Honeyman S. ,
  • 56', Mitchell Q. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 2, Lynch E. (Own goal),
  • 72', Walker G. , Lynas A. ,
  • 72', McIntosh L. , McCormick T. ,
  • 72', Kirkpatrick K. , Falconer T. ,
  • 80', Blair R. , Wallace T. ,
  • 90+2', Weir M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dumbarton
44.3%
Draw
26.8%
Edinburgh City
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 24% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.4% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dumbarton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dumbarton's form might have worsened.
  • Edinburgh City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edinburgh City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumbarton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edinburgh City than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edinburgh City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dumbarton - Edinburgh City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.62)
    3.52
    (3.81)
    3.31
    (4.66)
    6.3%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone League Two (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
    • Dumbarton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Dumbarton is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Dumbarton will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Dumbarton
    26.08.2025 Dumbarton - Hearts B 1:0
    23.08.2025 Annan Athletic - Dumbarton 3:4
    16.08.2025 Dumbarton - Elgin City 1:1
    12.08.2025 Dumbarton - St. Mirren 2 4:2
    09.08.2025 Spartans - Dumbarton 1:2
    Latest results of Edinburgh City
    Scottish League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1East Kilbride540113:6712
    2Spartans54019:4512
    3Stirling52127:8-17
    4Forfar Athletic52125:8-37
    5Dumbarton531110:825
    6Annan51228:9-15
    7Clyde50323:6-33
    8Elgin City50235:9-42
    9Stranraer50143:8-51
    10Edinburgh City531111:83-5

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League One (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          League Two (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )