Dumbarton vs Elgin City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish League Two Dumbarton - Elgin City
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 3

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', Tomlinson S. 🟨,
  • 31', Durnan M. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Walker J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Sargent R. 🟨,
  • 58', Docherty D. , Honeyman S. ,
  • 66', Booth L. 🟨,
  • 70', Roy A. , Falconer T. ,
  • 71', Hester K. , Gavin D. ,
  • 71', Sargent R. , Spalding A. ,
  • 72', Walker J. , McDonald O. ,
  • 74', 1 - 1, Honeyman S. ,
  • 76', MacIver J. 🟨,
  • 86', Tomlinson S. , McCormick T. ,
  • 89', Gallagher M. , O'Connor J. ,
  • 90+6', Gavin D. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Kirkpatrick K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dumbarton
53%
Draw
25.2%
Elgin City
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 28.1% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7% 27% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dumbarton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dumbarton's performance.
  • Elgin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elgin City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dumbarton than the current prediction. (-14.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dumbarton that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elgin City than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elgin City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dumbarton - Elgin City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.45)
    3.61
    (3.25)
    4.22
    (2.63)
    8.8%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Dumbarton - Elgin City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dumbarton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 2.
    • Dumbarton is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Elgin has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Dumbarton is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Dumbarton will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dumbarton won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dumbarton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dumbarton - Elgin City were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Dumbarton - Elgin City 2:2
    27.01.2024 Elgin City - Dumbarton 0:1
    18.11.2023 Dumbarton - Elgin City 1:0
    16.09.2023 Elgin City - Dumbarton 2:0
    25.02.2023 Dumbarton - Elgin City 1:2
    Latest results of Dumbarton
    12.08.2025 Dumbarton - St. Mirren 2 4:2
    09.08.2025 Spartans - Dumbarton 1:2
    02.08.2025 Dumbarton - Clyde 2:1
    23.07.2025 Hearts - Dumbarton 4:0
    Latest results of Elgin City
    Scottish League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forfar Athletic32105:237
    2Spartans32017:436
    3East Kilbride32015:416
    4Annan31205:415
    5Stirling31114:5-14
    6Dumbarton32105:322
    7Elgin City30123:5-21
    8Clyde30122:5-31
    9Stranraer30032:6-40
    10Edinburgh City31115:50-11

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