Dumiense vs Vila Real – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group A  Dumiense - Vila Real
Result
1:2
23/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 20

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Campos L. ,
  • 85', 🟥,
  • 86', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Dumiense
29%
Draw
29.3%
Vila Real
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 30.3% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 30.2% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dumiense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dumiense's form might have worsened.
  • Vila Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vila Real's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dumiense than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dumiense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vila Real, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dumiense - Vila Real Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.27)
    3.12
    (3)
    2.19
    (3.07)
    9.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent matches Dumiense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Vila Real is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Dumiense will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Dumiense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dumiense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dumiense - Vila Real were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Vila Real - Dumiense 3:1
    04.02.2024 Vila Real - Dumiense 0:0
    01.10.2023 Dumiense - Vila Real 2:1
    Latest results of Dumiense
    16.02.2025 Joane - Dumiense 4:3
    09.02.2025 Dumiense - Bragança 2:1
    26.01.2025 Dumiense - Rebordosa 1:0
    19.01.2025 Os Sandinenses - Dumiense 0:1
    Latest results of Vila Real
    09.02.2025 Tirsense - Vila Real 1:0
    02.02.2025 Vila Real - Pevidem 0:0
    26.01.2025 Vianense - Vila Real 2:1
    19.01.2025 Brito - Vila Real 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1