Dundalk vs St Patricks Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Irish Premier Division Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic
Result
1:2
05/09/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • IRELAND: Premier Division - Round 28

Match Stats

Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1517
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
1211
Corner Kicks
79
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Yellow Cards
10
Attacks
76110
Dangerous Attacks
5164

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Kenny E. , Pike D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Pike D. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Lennon J. , Redmond J. (A),
  • 62', Keena A. , Melia M. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Kavanagh B. , Mulraney J. (A),
  • 69', Hakiki J. , McGill S. ,
  • 69', Benson R. , Gullan J. ,
  • 72', Mulraney J. , McClelland J. ,
  • 75', O'Kane R. , Garbett N. ,
  • 75', Kenny E. , Mahon R. ,
  • 83', Kavanagh B. , Bolger A. ,
  • 87', Dervin A. , Keane D. ,

Chances of winning


Dundalk
25.7%
Draw
28.7%
St Patricks Athletic
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 29.2% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2% 30.1% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dundalk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundalk's form might have worsened.
  • St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St Patricks Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundalk than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundalk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St Patricks Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (2.71)
    3.26
    (3.25)
    2.05
    (2.65)
    6.8%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dundalk will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). St Patricks will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 29.2%76.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Dundalk won 1.
    • Recent matches Dundalk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • St Patricks is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • St Patricks could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Dundalk won 6 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 26-23.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dundalk won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic were as follows:
    03.06.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk 2:3
    12.04.2024 Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic 0:0
    08.03.2024 St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk 1:0
    22.09.2023 St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk 3:1
    26.06.2023 Dundalk - St Patricks Athletic 1:1
    Latest results of Dundalk
    30.08.2024 Dundalk - Shelbourne 0:1
    09.08.2024 Derry City - Dundalk 1:1
    02.08.2024 Dundalk - Galway United 0:2
    26.07.2024 Bohemians Dublin - Dundalk 1:1
    19.07.2024 Drogheda United - Dundalk 2:1
    Irish Premier Division Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shamrock Rovers25147444:232149
    2Bohemians24132930:22841
    3Derry City24124835:26940
    4Drogheda25911529:25438
    5Shelbourne25811630:27335
    6St. Patricks2588927:27032
    7Waterford24931228:42-1430
    8Galway2478927:30-329
    9Sligo Rovers24651330:39-923
    10Cork City24291324:43-1915

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier Division (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 1