Result
4:0
27/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier Division - Round 4
- Referee: Keating L. (Irl)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Ireland | LOI TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/411) | 78% (311/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.56 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (324/411) | 78% (311/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/70) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (76/111) | 54% (65/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.56 | 2.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.56 | -1.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Palmer R. ⚽, Edmondson R. (A),
- 26', 2 - 0, Hoare S. ⚽, Lennon J. (A),
- 35', Palmer R. 🟨,
- 43', Brown J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Dervin A. ↓, Arubi G. ↑,
- 46', Wilson T. ↓, Teahan R. ↑,
- 46', Palmer R. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 0, Elbouzedi Z. ⚽,
- 53', Hoare S. ↓, Grivosti T. ↑,
- 55', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, McClelland J. ↑,
- 57', Kenny E. ↓, McDaid D. ↑,
- 57', Buckley K. ↓, Groome H. ↑,
- 60', Teahan R. 🟨,
- 71', Edmondson R. 🟨,
- 73', Edmondson R. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
- 73', Brown J. ↓, Nugent D. ↑,
- 82', Cornwall R. ↓, O'Keeffe C. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 0, Keena A. ⚽, Leavy K. (A),
Chances of winning
St Patricks Athletic
51.2% | Draw
27.3% | Dundalk
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Patricks Athletic's form might have worsened.Dundalk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.54) |
3.45 ↓
(4) |
4.38 ↓
(5.4) |
6.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St Patricks will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Dundalk will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St Patricks: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Dundalk (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dundalk (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 3.
- Dundalk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, St Patricks is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Patricks won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, St Patricks won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has St Patricks Athletic won against Dundalk?
St Patricks Athletic has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundalk won against St Patricks Athletic?
Dundalk has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St Patricks Athletic - Dundalk were as follows:
05.09.2024
Dundalk
-
St Patricks Athletic
1:2
03.06.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Dundalk
2:3
12.04.2024
Dundalk
-
St Patricks Athletic
0:0
08.03.2024
St Patricks Athletic
-
Dundalk
1:0
22.09.2023
St Patricks Athletic
-
Dundalk
3:1
Latest results of St Patricks Athletic
Latest results of Dundalk
Irish Premier Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bohemians | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | St. Patricks | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Derry City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Drogheda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Shamrock Rovers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Galway | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Dundalk | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 9 | Waterford | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 1
