Result
3:2
04/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 25
- Referee: Steven C. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee United TV, Hibs TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.90 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (272/360) | 73% (265/364) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (272/360) | 73% (265/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (17/66) | 40% (27/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (85/119) | 51% (49/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 24% (5/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 63% (5/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.04 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Passlack F. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Boyle M. ⚽, Scarlett D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 54', Scarlett D. 🟨,
- 62', Moller N. ↓, Farrugia N. ↑,
- 63', Barlaser D. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
- 63', Scarlett D. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 66', Obita J. ↓, Cadden N. ↑,
- 73', Passlack F. ↓, Megwa K. ↑,
- 73', Boyle M. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Graham R. ⚽,
- 76', Sapsford Z. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Watters M. ⚽, Trapanovski K. (A),
- 86', Trapanovski K. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Graham R. (Own goal),
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Suto A. ⚽, Cadden N. (A),
Chances of winning
Hibernian
59.6% | Draw
23.4% | Dundee United
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Hibernian - Dundee United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.53) |
4.03 ↑
(3.9) |
5.47 ↓
(5.5) |
6.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hibernian - Dundee United?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hibernian: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hibernian is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:14. (average 1.9:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Dundee United?
Hibernian has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against Hibernian?
Dundee United has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - Dundee United were as follows:
20.12.2025
Dundee United
-
Hibernian
1:1
13.09.2025
Hibernian
-
Dundee United
3:3
03.05.2025
Hibernian
-
Dundee United
3:1
26.02.2025
Dundee United
-
Hibernian
1:3
03.11.2024
Hibernian
-
Dundee United
1:1
Latest results of Hibernian
Latest results of Dundee United
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
