Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 7
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee United TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (206/312) | 73% (304/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (206/312) | 73% (304/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (40/84) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (79/122) | 52% (71/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (15/25) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 46 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Iovu I. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
- 34', 0 - 1, Pittman S. ⚽, May S. (A),
- 37', Smith L. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Camara P. ↓, Fatah A. ↑,
- 46', Dolcek I. ↓, Sibbald C. ↑,
- 48', McLennan C. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 1, Keresztes K. ⚽,
- 51', McLennan C. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
- 65', Stephenson L. 🟨,
- 67', May S. ↓, Bokila J. ↑,
- 70', Moller N. ↓, Trapanovski K. ↑,
- 86', Sevelj V. ↓, Naamo D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dundee United
43.9% | Draw
28% | Livingston
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Livingston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-3%)
Dundee United - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(1.92) |
3.56 ↑
(3.53) |
3.49 ↓
(3.7) |
-0.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundee United - Livingston?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Dundee United will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 2.
- Recent performances by Dundee Utd have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Livingston is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Dundee Utd is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Graham R.
(Muscle Injury)
Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
Watters M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Livingston: Denholm A.
(Injury)
Kerr C.
(Injury)
Montano C.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Dundee Utd: Trapanovski K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against Livingston?
Dundee United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Dundee United?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee United - Livingston were as follows:
20.05.2023
Livingston
-
Dundee United
2:1
22.04.2023
Dundee United
-
Livingston
2:0
08.03.2023
Livingston
-
Dundee United
1:1
31.08.2022
Livingston
-
Dundee United
1:2
Latest results of Dundee United
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | Celtic | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 17 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | St. Mirren | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Hibernian | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Rangers | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Livingston | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
