Result
1:3
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 20
- Referee: Irvine G. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | Dundee United TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 3.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (329/453) | 70% (237/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 3.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 51 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (329/453) | 70% (237/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (28/75) | 36% (22/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (89/128) | 60% (72/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/18) | 32% (11/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 3.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Sapsford Z. ⚽,
- 45', Finlayson D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', Tait M. 🟨,
- 59', Sylla M. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
- 59', May S. ↓, Yengi T. ↑,
- 60', Smith L. ↓, McLennan C. ↑,
- 64', Bokila J. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
- 70', Pittman S. ↓, Brenet J. ↑,
- 70', Stirton O. ↓, Fatah A. ↑,
- 70', Naamo D. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
- 75', Sapsford Z. ↓, Watters M. ↑,
- 79', McLennan C. 🟨,
- 82', Trapanovski K. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
- 84', Susoho M. 🟨,
- 87', 0 - 2, McGowan R. (Own goal),
- 90', 0 - 3, Fatah A. ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 3, McLennan C. ⚽, Montano C. (A),
Chances of winning
Livingston 40.2% | Draw 29% | Dundee United 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Livingston - Dundee United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↓ (2.47) |
3.22 ↑ (3.17) |
3.01 ↑ (2.75) |
6.6% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Livingston - Dundee United?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Livingston will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Dundee Utd will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Livingston: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Livingston (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 1.
- Livingston has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Dundee Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Dundee Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S.
(Calf Injury)
Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kerr C.
(Muscle Injury)
Montgomery A.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Graham R.
(Injury)
Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
Strain R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundee Utd: Camara P.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Dundee United?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against Livingston?
Dundee United has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - Dundee United were as follows:
04.10.2025
Dundee United
-
Livingston
1:1
20.05.2023
Livingston
-
Dundee United
2:1
22.04.2023
Dundee United
-
Livingston
2:0
08.03.2023
Livingston
-
Dundee United
1:1
31.08.2022
Livingston
-
Dundee United
1:2
Latest results of Livingston
Latest results of Dundee United
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 40:17 | 23 | 47 |
| 2 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34:17 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Celtic | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 38:21 | 17 | 41 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 30 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16:28 | -12 | 18 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 14 |
| 12 | Livingston | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 21:41 | -20 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )