Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 31
- Referee: Robertson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, Hearts TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/452) | 75% (253/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/452) | 75% (253/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (83/123) | 44% (33/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (18/20) | 47% (9/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 65 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+4', Kent F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Altena J. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
- 54', Kabore P. ↓, Shankland L. ↑,
- 57', Congreve C. 🟨,
- 63', Yogane T. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
- 63', Westley J. ↓, Cotterill J. ↑,
- 71', Congreve C. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
- 72', Hay A. ↓, Murray S. ↑,
- 76', Reilly C. 🟨,
- 76', Devlin C. ↓, Baningime B. ↑,
- 77', Robertson F. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 0, McEntee O. ⚽, Leonard M. (A),
- 80', Leonard M. 🟨,
- 86', Braga C. ↓, Chesnokov I. ↑,
- 86', Kyziridis A. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
- 90+1', Kent F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hearts
68.3% | Draw
19.4% | Dundee
12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Hearts - Dundee Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.43) |
4.86 ↑
(4.25) |
7.73 ↑
(6.47) |
6.1%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hearts - Dundee?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- Dundee is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 4.
- Hearts has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dundee is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Hearts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Dundee has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hearts is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Thigh Injury)
Devlin C.
(Ankle Injury)
Findlay S.
(Thigh Injury)
Kingsley S.
(Groin Injury)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Shankland L.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Dundee: Robertson C.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Magnusson T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 43:21. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 2.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Dundee?
Hearts has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Hearts?
Dundee has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Dundee were as follows:
11.01.2026
Dundee
-
Hearts
0:1
01.11.2025
Hearts
-
Dundee
4:0
26.04.2025
Hearts
-
Dundee
0:1
07.03.2025
Hearts
-
Dundee
3:1
01.02.2025
Dundee
-
Hearts
0:6
Scottish Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 55:27 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 32 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 60:28 | 32 | 66 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 58:35 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk ✔ | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 42:42 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd ✔ | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 42:52 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 31:48 | -17 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35:63 | -28 | 27 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 32 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 33:63 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Falkirk is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee Utd is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
