Result
1:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 33
- Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/387) | 76% (283/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (297/387) | 76% (283/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (32/74) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (74/117) | 57% (45/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Halliday B. 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Hugill J. ⚽,
- 24', 1 - 1, Murray S. ⚽, Yogane T. (A),
- 33', 2 - 1, Schjonning-Larsen M. ⚽,
- 39', Deas R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Halliday B. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,
- 55', Hamilton E. 🟨,
- 58', Congreve C. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
- 58', Dhanda Y. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
- 59', Murray S. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
- 70', Yogane T. ↓, Reilly C. ↑,
- 72', Schjonning-Larsen M. ↓, Thompson D. ↑,
- 75', Tshibola A. 🟨,
- 77', Anderson B. ↓, McKenzie R. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Wright D. ⚽, Samuels I. (A),
- 86', Lowery T. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
- 86', Tshibola A. ↓, Lyons B. ↑,
- 90+1', Stanger G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Brandon J. 🟨,
- 90+13', Westley J. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Kilmarnock
43% | Draw
27.8% | Dundee
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Kilmarnock - Dundee Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.27) |
3.4 ↑
(3.28) |
3.23 ↑
(2.97) |
5.7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kilmarnock - Dundee?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Kilmarnock will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- Dundee is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Dundee has had a series of home games.
- Kilmarnock is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
John-Jules T.
(Muscle Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Dundee: Astley R.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Dundee: Robertson C.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kilmarnock won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kilmarnock won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Dundee?
Kilmarnock has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Kilmarnock?
Dundee has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kilmarnock - Dundee were as follows:
17.01.2026
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
1:2
30.12.2025
Dundee
-
Kilmarnock
2:1
23.08.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
0:0
10.05.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
3:2
30.11.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Dundee
1:1
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 48:57 | -9 | 43 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 36:50 | -14 | 37 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 35:56 | -21 | 36 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 7 | 10 | 18 | 40:66 | -26 | 31 |
| 11 | St. Mirren | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 27:51 | -24 | 30 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 35 | 2 | 14 | 19 | 39:68 | -29 | 20 |
Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Livingston is Relegated to Championship
