Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 5
- Referee: Scott C. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee TV, Motherwell TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (196/248) | 90% (477/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (196/248) | 90% (477/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (12/38) | 65% (24/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (32/63) | 77% (114/149) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.33 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Westley J. 🟨,
- 33', 0 - 1, Maswanhise T. ⚽, Longelo E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Westley J. ↓, Congreve C. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Graham L. ⚽, Congreve C. (A),
- 57', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Just E. ↑,
- 57', Koutroumbis J. ↓, O'Donnell S. ↑,
- 61', Stamatelopoulos A. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 71', Yogane T. ↓, Hay A. ↑,
- 78', Welsh S. ↓, Balmer K. ↑,
- 78', Said I. ↓, Priestman O. ↑,
- 85', Dhanda Y. 🟥,
- 89', Longelo E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Robertson F. ↓, Samuels I. ↑,
- 90+2', Murray S. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Dundee
23.1% | Draw
26.8% | Motherwell
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dundee's form might have worsened.Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motherwell's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dundee than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dundee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motherwell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dundee - Motherwell Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.32 ↑
(3.12) |
3.66 ↑
(3.38) |
1.94 ↓
(2.21) |
2%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dundee - Motherwell?
Users Predictions:
Motherwell will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Motherwell will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Motherwell could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dundee: Digby P.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Motherwell: Nicholson S.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson Z.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stuparevic F.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundee: Reilly C.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dundee won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:32. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee won against Motherwell?
Dundee has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motherwell won against Dundee?
Motherwell has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee - Motherwell were as follows:
03.05.2025
Dundee
-
Motherwell
1:2
26.02.2025
Motherwell
-
Dundee
2:1
04.12.2024
Dundee
-
Motherwell
4:1
19.10.2024
Motherwell
-
Dundee
0:1
06.04.2024
Dundee
-
Motherwell
2:3
Latest results of Motherwell
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Celtic | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 13 |
| 2 | Hearts | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8:7 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | St. Mirren | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Dundee FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Livingston | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 9 | Kilmarnock | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Falkirk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Rangers | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
