Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
113
Shots on target
51
Corner kicks
82
Yellow cards
32
Total shots
113
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Bigirimana G. 🟨,
  • 25', Alves L. 🟨,
  • 37', Scott A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Ali G. 🟨,
  • 59', Scott A. , Jarvis A. ,
  • 60', Rutkowski I. , Murray S. ,
  • 60', Ali G. , Toure D. ,
  • 68', 1 - 0, Dillon K. ,
  • 72', McGeouch D. , Ebbe D. ,
  • 73', Smith M. , Maguire T. ,
  • 73', Dillon K. , Gordon S. ,
  • 80', Corbally K. , O’Reilly J. ,
  • 82', 2 - 0, Ogedi-Uzokwe J. ,
  • 84', Bigirimana G. , Knowles J. ,
  • 84', Ogedi-Uzokwe J. , Mitchell A. ,
  • 90', Glenny A. , Maguire P. ,
  • 90+3', Wallace D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dungannon Swifts
44.8%
Draw
27.4%
Ballymena United
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 25.6% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 24.7% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dungannon Swifts's form might have worsened.
  • Ballymena United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ballymena United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dungannon Swifts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ballymena United than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ballymena United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.67)
    3.37
    (3.59)
    3.31
    (4.76)
    8.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dungannon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Ballymena United will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 4.
    • Dungannon is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ballymena United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ballymena United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Dungannon is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts 1:2
    27.09.2025 Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts 0:2
    08.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United 0:3
    14.12.2024 Ballymena United - Dungannon Swifts 0:1
    24.08.2024 Dungannon Swifts - Ballymena United 1:0
    Latest results of Dungannon Swifts
    Latest results of Ballymena United
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    Championship Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne36247565:263979
    2Glentoran36237671:323976
    3Coleraine36235874:353974
    4Linfield ✔ 36199860:283266
    5Cliftonville ✔ 361381552:58-647
    6Dungannon ✔ 361512042:68-2646

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
    Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )