Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Premiership - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
616
Shots on target
412
Corner kicks
29
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
10
Total shots
616
Shots on target
412
Shots off target
24
Corner kicks
29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Fitzpatrick M. ,
  • 7', 1 - 1, Bigirimana G. ,
  • 21', Glenny A. 🟨,
  • 44', Marron C. , Gordon S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 55', 1 - 2, Baird I. ,
  • 59', Hall B. 🟨,
  • 64', Dillon K. , Mitchell A. ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Baird I. ,
  • 79', Doyle P. 🟨,
  • 82', Doyle P. , Knowles J. ,
  • 82', Alves L. , Smith M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 4, McClean K. ,
  • 88', Millar K. , Yates M. ,
  • 88', Fitzpatrick M. , Frizzell A. ,
  • 89', Baird I. , Gorrin A. ,
  • 90+3', Smith M. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Dungannon Swifts
19.5%
Draw
23.7%
Linfield
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.9% 22.6% 56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 21.9% 58.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Dungannon Swifts - Linfield Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.76
    (4.4)
    3.92
    (4.07)
    1.64
    (1.63)
    7.7%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Dungannon Swifts - Linfield?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Linfield (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Linfield will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 0.
    • Recent performances by Dungannon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Linfield is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Dungannon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Linfield is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 13:61. (average 0.7:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:23. (average 0.5:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dungannon Swifts - Linfield were as follows:
    10.02.2026 Linfield - Dungannon Swifts 6:0
    10.08.2025 Linfield - Dungannon Swifts 3:0
    12.04.2025 Linfield - Dungannon Swifts 2:0
    24.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts - Linfield 0:3
    17.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts - Linfield 0:1
    Latest results of Dungannon Swifts
    Latest results of Linfield
    14.02.2026 Glenavon - Linfield 0:3
    06.02.2026 Limavady United - Linfield 1:0
    Northern Irish Premiership Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Larne ✔ 32217457:223570
    2Glentoran ✔ 32215662:293368
    3Coleraine ✔ 32204861:303164
    4Linfield ✔ 32188656:223462
    5Cliftonville ✔ 321371247:46146
    6Dungannon ✔ 321511640:57-1746
    7Carrick Rangers ✔ 321171447:51-440
    8Portadown ✔ 321121936:57-2135
    9Ballymena ✔ 32961737:48-1133
    10Bangor FC ✔ 32961737:57-2033
    11Glenavon ✔ 32812333:60-2725
    12Crusaders ✔ 32742138:72-3425

          Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
          NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Glentoran is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Cliftonville is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
    Carrick Rangers is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Portadown is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Ballymena is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Bangor FC is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
    Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )