Result
1:4
17/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NIFL Premiership - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Fitzpatrick M. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Bigirimana G. ⚽,
- 21', Glenny A. 🟨,
- 44', Marron C. ↓, Gordon S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 55', 1 - 2, Baird I. ⚽,
- 59', Hall B. 🟨,
- 64', Dillon K. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 3, Baird I. ⚽,
- 79', Doyle P. 🟨,
- 82', Doyle P. ↓, Knowles J. ↑,
- 82', Alves L. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 4, McClean K. ⚽,
- 88', Millar K. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
- 88', Fitzpatrick M. ↓, Frizzell A. ↑,
- 89', Baird I. ↓, Gorrin A. ↑,
- 90+3', Smith M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Dungannon Swifts 19.5% | Draw 23.7% | Linfield 56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dungannon Swifts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Linfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Dungannon Swifts - Linfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.76 ↑ (4.4) |
3.92 ↓ (4.07) |
1.64 ↑ (1.63) |
7.7% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dungannon Swifts - Linfield?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Linfield (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Linfield will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 0.
- Recent performances by Dungannon have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Linfield is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Dungannon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Linfield is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dungannon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 13:61. (average 0.7:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dungannon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 4:23. (average 0.5:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dungannon Swifts won against Linfield?
Dungannon Swifts has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Linfield won against Dungannon Swifts?
Linfield has won 12 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dungannon Swifts - Linfield were as follows:
10.02.2026
Linfield
-
Dungannon Swifts
6:0
10.08.2025
Linfield
-
Dungannon Swifts
3:0
12.04.2025
Linfield
-
Dungannon Swifts
2:0
24.03.2025
Dungannon Swifts
-
Linfield
0:3
17.12.2024
Dungannon Swifts
-
Linfield
0:1
Latest results of Dungannon Swifts
Latest results of Linfield
Northern Irish Premiership Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Larne ✔ | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 53:21 | 32 | 64 |
| 2 | Coleraine ✔ | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 59:27 | 32 | 61 |
| 3 | Linfield ✔ | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 53:19 | 34 | 59 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 49:28 | 21 | 56 |
| 5 | Dungannon | 30 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 36:54 | -18 | 43 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 45:47 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Cliftonville | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 37 |
| 8 | Portadown | 28 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 34 |
| 9 | Bangor FC | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 36:52 | -16 | 32 |
| 10 | Ballymena | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 29 |
| 11 | Crusaders ✔ | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 37:63 | -26 | 25 |
| 12 | Glenavon ✔ | 30 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 27:60 | -33 | 19 |
Promotion ~ NIFL Premiership (Championship Group: )
NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Larne is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Coleraine is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Championship Group )
Crusaders is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )
Glenavon is NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group )