Result
6:2
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 8
- Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.12 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
61% | 39% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
12 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
90% (560/625) | 86% (334/388) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.12 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.88 | 0.69 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
12 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
30 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
5 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
90% (560/625) | 86% (334/388) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (25/50) | 39% (15/38) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (64/103) | 63% (42/67) |
Crosses |
---|
50% (7/14) | 13% (1/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.42 | 0.25 |
Throw-ins |
---|
8 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (14/16) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
43 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
6 | 14 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.69 | 3.88 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.31 | -2.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Essimi M. ⚽, Sylvestre E. (A),
- 16', Fofana I. 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Essimi M. ⚽, Georgen A. (A),
- 24', Essimi M. 🟨,
- 34', 3 - 0, Essimi M. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
- 44', 4 - 0, Robinet T. ⚽, Sylvestre E. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Averlant T. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
- 46', Lutin R. ↓, Kaiboue K. ↑,
- 46', Hamache I. ↓, Ikia Dimi Y. ↑,
- 46', 5 - 0, Sasso V. ⚽, Sylvestre E. (A),
- 50', 5 - 1, Ikia Dimi Y. ⚽, Talbot N. (A),
- 66', Fofana I. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
- 67', Georgen A. ↓, Dziki Loussilaho L. ↑,
- 67', Sasso V. ↓, Abner F. ↑,
- 68', Zossou A. ↓, Daho A. ↑,
- 68', Dziki Loussilaho L. 🟨,
- 69', Sylvestre E. ↓, Eguaras I. ↑,
- 76', Essimi M. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 78', 6 - 1, Kondo G. ⚽, Daho A. (A),
- 79', Niflore M. 🟨,
- 81', Talbot N. ↓, Daf I. ↑,
- 90+4', 6 - 2, Chibozo A. ⚽, Monconduit T. (A),
Chances of winning
Dunkerque 73.3% | Draw 13.5% | Amiens 13.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunkerque's performance.Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amiens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-18.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amiens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dunkerque - Amiens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.73) |
10.2 ↑ (3.57) |
10.14 ↑ (4.85) |
-17.7% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Amiens?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 3.
- Dunkerque has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Amiens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Amiens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Dunkerque is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
Mlakar J.
(Inactive)
Rafii Y.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Dunkerque: Lavin M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Amiens: Chabane A.
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Amiens?
Dunkerque has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Dunkerque?
Amiens has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Amiens were as follows:
11.04.2025
Amiens
-
Dunkerque
1:0
01.11.2024
Dunkerque
-
Amiens
3:1
02.08.2024
Dunkerque
-
Amiens
5:1
20.04.2024
Amiens
-
Dunkerque
0:1
04.11.2023
Dunkerque
-
Amiens
0:1
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
2 | St Etienne | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 9 | 20 |
3 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
9 | Montpellier | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National