Dunkerque vs Amiens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Dunkerque - Amiens
Result
6:2
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 8
  • Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.120.47
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
122
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
90% (560/625)86% (334/388)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
3.120.47
xG on target (xGOT)
3.880.69
Total shots
186
Shots on target
122
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
305
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1317
Passes
90% (560/625)86% (334/388)
Long passes
50% (25/50)39% (15/38)
Passes in final third
62% (64/103)63% (42/67)
Crosses
50% (7/14)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.420.25
Throw-ins
817
Fouls
1713
Tackles
88% (14/16)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4346
Clearances
614
Interceptions
45
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.693.88
Goals prevented
-1.31-2.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Essimi M. , Sylvestre E. (A),
  • 16', Fofana I. 🟨,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Essimi M. , Georgen A. (A),
  • 24', Essimi M. 🟨,
  • 34', 3 - 0, Essimi M. , Kondo G. (A),
  • 44', 4 - 0, Robinet T. , Sylvestre E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Averlant T. , Nduquidi J. ,
  • 46', Lutin R. , Kaiboue K. ,
  • 46', Hamache I. , Ikia Dimi Y. ,
  • 46', 5 - 0, Sasso V. , Sylvestre E. (A),
  • 50', 5 - 1, Ikia Dimi Y. , Talbot N. (A),
  • 66', Fofana I. , Chibozo A. ,
  • 67', Georgen A. , Dziki Loussilaho L. ,
  • 67', Sasso V. , Abner F. ,
  • 68', Zossou A. , Daho A. ,
  • 68', Dziki Loussilaho L. 🟨,
  • 69', Sylvestre E. , Eguaras I. ,
  • 76', Essimi M. , Kante A. ,
  • 78', 6 - 1, Kondo G. , Daho A. (A),
  • 79', Niflore M. 🟨,
  • 81', Talbot N. , Daf I. ,
  • 90+4', 6 - 2, Chibozo A. , Monconduit T. (A),

Chances of winning


Dunkerque
73.3%
Draw
13.5%
Amiens
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 26.3% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 26% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dunkerque's performance.
  • Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Amiens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dunkerque that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amiens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dunkerque - Amiens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.73)
    10.2
    (3.57)
    10.14
    (4.85)
    -17.7%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Dunkerque - Amiens?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 44.1%94.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 3.
    • Dunkerque has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Amiens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Amiens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Dunkerque is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Dunkerque: Linguet A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Mlakar J. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dunkerque: Lavin M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Amiens: Chabane A. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.4:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dunkerque - Amiens were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Amiens - Dunkerque 1:0
    01.11.2024 Dunkerque - Amiens 3:1
    02.08.2024 Dunkerque - Amiens 5:1
    20.04.2024 Amiens - Dunkerque 0:1
    04.11.2023 Dunkerque - Amiens 0:1
    Latest results of Dunkerque
    23.09.2025 Guingamp - Dunkerque 2:1
    19.09.2025 Dunkerque - Le Mans 2:2
    13.09.2025 Grenoble - Dunkerque 1:0
    29.08.2025 Dunkerque - Troyes 2:0
    22.08.2025 Dunkerque - Nancy 1:3
    Latest results of Amiens
    23.09.2025 Amiens - Saint-Étienne 0:1
    19.09.2025 Laval - Amiens 0:3
    12.09.2025 Amiens - Bastia 0:0
    29.08.2025 Montpellier - Amiens 1:1
    22.08.2025 Amiens - Annecy 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes962119:91020
    2St Etienne962119:10920
    3Pau FC962116:8820
    4Red Star952215:9617
    5Reims942314:13114
    6Guingamp942316:19-314
    7Nancy933310:11-112
    8Rodez93338:11-312
    9Montpellier93248:10-211
    10Dunkerque924316:14210
    11Le Mans924311:12-110
    12Clermont92439:13-410
    13Amiens923411:13-29
    14Grenoble923410:12-29
    15Annecy92349:12-39
    16Boulogne93067:11-49
    17Laval91537:11-48
    18Bastia90454:11-74

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National