Result
1:0
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 30
- Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (160/237) | 89% (556/625) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 14 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 37 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (160/237) | 89% (556/625) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (19/63) | 61% (25/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 77% (160/207) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 31% (10/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.69 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 55 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 38 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Mafouta L. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Al Saad M. ↓, Ba A. ↑,
- 46', Lutin R. ↓, Mbaye M. ↑,
- 59', Queiros D. ↓, Bammou Y. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Mbaye M. ⚽, Lobry V. (A),
- 69', Abner F. ↓, Fortuna N. ↑,
- 69', Yassine G. ↓, Rivera M. ↑,
- 79', Lobry V. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
- 83', Gurtner R. 🟨,
- 90+1', Leautey A. ↓, Tine M. ↑,
- 90+1', Corchia S. ↓, Chabane A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Amiens
23.4% | Draw
27.1% | Dunkerque
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Amiens - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.36) |
3.46 ↓
(3.6) |
1.91 ↓
(2.04) |
6.4%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Amiens - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 29.2% – 76.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Amiens won 1.
- Both teams are in bad shape now.
- Dunkerque could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Dunkerque will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Amiens: Kandil N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Kondo G.
(Inactive)
Ortola A.
(Inactive)
Raghouber U.
(Yellow Cards)
Rivera M.
(Inactive)
Sasso V.
(Inactive)
Sekongo A.
(Inactive)
Tejan K.
(Inactive)
Youssouf B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Dunkerque: Courtet G.
(Injury)
- Last 16 head-to-head matches Amiens won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16:20 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Amiens won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Dunkerque?
Amiens has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Amiens?
Dunkerque has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Amiens - Dunkerque were as follows:
01.11.2024
Dunkerque
-
Amiens
3:1
02.08.2024
Dunkerque
-
Amiens
5:1
20.04.2024
Amiens
-
Dunkerque
0:1
04.11.2023
Dunkerque
-
Amiens
0:1
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 4 | St Etienne | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
