Result
2:6
27/04/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 32
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (391/470) | 77% (295/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 3.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (391/470) | 77% (295/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (13/50) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (61/100) | 54% (43/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.05 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.95 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Pinot A. ⚽, Fatar N. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Robinet T. ⚽, Bardeli E. (A),
- 17', Linguet A. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 2, Sasso V. ⚽, Essimi M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 50', Fatar N. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 3, Sasso V. ⚽,
- 65', Zossou A. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
- 67', Thiam D. 🟥,
- 72', 2 - 3, Lecolier M. ⚽, Binet N. (A),
- 73', El Farissi A. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
- 73', Duflos S. ↓, Zohore N. ↑,
- 74', Boyer J. ↓, Burlet V. ↑,
- 74', Lecolier M. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
- 77', Essimi M. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
- 78', Linguet A. ↓, Massock T. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 4, Robinet T. ⚽, Massock T. (A),
- 82', Fatar N. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
- 86', Bardeli E. ↓, Makhloufi M. ↑,
- 87', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 5, Massock T. ⚽, Seha Z. (A),
- 90+3', 2 - 6, Makhloufi M. ⚽, Diong P. (A),
Chances of winning
Boulogne 32.1% | Draw 29.6% | Dunkerque 38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Boulogne - Dunkerque Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↑ (2.58) |
3.15 ↓ (3.16) |
2.46 ↓ (2.73) |
6.7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Dunkerque?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 9.6% – 70.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 1.
- In recent matches, Boulogne has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Dunkerque has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Boulogne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Boulogne: Capuano G.
(Inactive)
Moco Z.
(Inactive)
Platret A.
(Inactive)
Siliadin L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Knee Injury)
Diong P.
(Inactive)
Diop M.
(Inactive)
Doucet L.
(Yellow Cards)
Lagae B.
(Inactive)
Sekongo A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Boulogne won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:24. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boulogne won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Dunkerque?
Boulogne has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dunkerque won against Boulogne?
Dunkerque has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Dunkerque were as follows:
07.11.2025
Dunkerque
-
Boulogne
1:1
20.07.2024
Boulogne
-
Dunkerque
2:3
22.07.2023
Dunkerque
-
Boulogne
2:3
Latest results of Boulogne
Latest results of Dunkerque
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes ✔ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens ✔ | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
Clinched Spots for Teams
Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National