Duque de Caxias vs Nova Cidade – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
01/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca B1 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Andinho ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 2, ,
  • 77', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Duque de Caxias
43.3%
Draw
32.8%
Nova Cidade
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 30.6% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 29% 21.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Nova Cidade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duque de Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Duque de Caxias - Nova Cidade Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.94)
    2.81
    (2.96)
    3.86
    (4)
    8.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).
    • Duque de Caxias has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nova Cidade is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Nova Cidade has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Duque de Caxias is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Duque de Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Duque de Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    Latest results of Duque de Caxias
    Latest results of Nova Cidade
    25.10.2025 Bonsucesso - Nova Cidade 1:0
    18.10.2025 Nova Cidade - Artsul 0:0
    04.10.2025 Nova Cidade - Petrópolis 0:1
    13.09.2025 Nova Cidade - Niteroiense 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bonsucesso (1)Duque de Caxias (4)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Sao Cristovao (2)Serrano FC (3)0 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Bonsucesso (1)Serrano FC (3)0 : 0, 1 : 2