Duque de Caxias vs Paduano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca B1 - Round 8

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 60', 1 - 1, ,
  • 89', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Duque de Caxias
41.9%
Draw
29.1%
Paduano
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 31.1% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 30.8% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Duque de Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • Paduano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paduano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Duque de Caxias - Paduano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.3)
    3.15
    (2.91)
    3.16
    (3.06)
    9.2%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Carioca B2).
    • In recent matches, Duque de Caxias has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paduano is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Duque de Caxias
    Latest results of Paduano
    18.10.2025 Paduano - Campo Grande 0:1
    11.10.2025 Bonsucesso - Paduano 2:1
    04.10.2025 Paduano - Artsul 0:2
    27.09.2025 Serrano FC - Paduano 1:2
    20.09.2025 Paduano - Petrópolis 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bonsucesso (1)Duque de Caxias (4)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Sao Cristovao (2)Serrano FC (3)0 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1Bonsucesso (1)Serrano FC (3)0 : 0, 1 : 2