Ipswich Town vs Durham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WSL 2 - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomWSL 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.811.39
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
74
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
44
Passes
57% (138/244)73% (301/415)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.811.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.581.51
Total shots
159
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
86
Shots outside the box
73
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
43
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1814
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free kicks
78
Passes
57% (138/244)73% (301/415)
Long passes
35% (21/60)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
47% (41/88)53% (61/115)
Crosses
33% (4/12)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.36
Throw ins
3638
Fouls
87
Tackles
50% (11/22)81% (17/21)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1720
Interceptions
1316
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
1.512.58
Goals prevented
0.510.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Ademiluyi P. , Baker A. (A),
  • 26', Ademiluyi P. 🟨,
  • 33', 2 - 0, Ashworth-Clifford L. , Baker A. (A),
  • 42', Bradley D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Blake H. , Toland T. ,
  • 46', Speckmaier M. , Briggs L. ,
  • 52', Cavanagh C. 🟨,
  • 58', Ede G. , Collinson G. ,
  • 67', Lambert M. , Agg L. ,
  • 70', Ademiluyi P. , Thomas N. ,
  • 70', Graham K. , O'Brien L. ,
  • 72', 2 - 1, Toland T. , Collinson G. (A),
  • 73', Ayre G. , McFarland L. ,
  • 77', Baker A. 🟨,
  • 77', Baker A. , Peskett S. ,
  • 82', Meena M. , Mitchell L. ,

Chances of winning


Ipswich Town
40.4%
Draw
27%
Durham
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 27.2% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 26.2% 38.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.
  • Durham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Durham might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Durham than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Durham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ipswich Town - Durham Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.8)
    3.4
    (3.35)
    2.81
    (2.26)
    9.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Recent performances by Ipswich have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Durham is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ipswich won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Durham were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Durham - Ipswich Town 1:1
    Latest results of Ipswich Town
    Latest results of Durham
    20.02.2026 Durham - Sunderland 2:3
    15.02.2026 Charlton Athletic - Durham 4:2
    01.02.2026 Durham - Portsmouth 2:1
    25.01.2026 Crystal Palace - Durham 4:0