Result
2:3
20/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- WSL 2 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | WSL 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (222/346) | 57% (165/289) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.15 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (222/346) | 57% (165/289) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (30/80) | 25% (20/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (39/85) | 50% (69/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.26 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Lambert M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 64', 1 - 1, Kitching K. ⚽, Watson K. (A),
- 70', Jones A. 🟨,
- 71', Jones A. ↓, McFarland L. ↑,
- 75', Kitching K. ↓, Jones E. ↑,
- 79', Briggs L. ↓, Collinson G. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 2, Griffiths L. ⚽, Watson K. (A),
- 88', Fenton N. ↓, Finn J. ↑,
- 90', Ede G. ↓, Robson S. ↑,
- 90+1', Scarr E. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Sheva M. ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, McFarland L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Durham
34.1% | Draw
25.8% | Sunderland
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Durham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Durham's performance.Sunderland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durham than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Durham that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Durham - Sunderland Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↓
(3.22) |
3.53 ↑
(3.27) |
2.27 ↑
(2.13) |
9.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 10 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Durham won 1.
- Recent form of Durham has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sunderland's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sunderland will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Durham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Durham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Durham won against Sunderland?
Durham has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sunderland won against Durham?
Sunderland has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Durham - Sunderland were as follows:
23.11.2025
Sunderland
-
Durham
2:1
19.09.2025
Sunderland
-
Durham
2:1
02.03.2025
Sunderland
-
Durham
2:0
11.12.2024
Sunderland
-
Durham
1:2
20.10.2024
Durham
-
Sunderland
1:2
Latest results of Sunderland
