Dusan Lajovic vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
66%52%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (41/59)63% (26/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)42% (16/38)
Break Points Saved
89% (8/9)25% (2/8)
1st Return Points Won
37% (15/41)31% (18/59)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (22/38)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)11% (1/9)
Winners
1925
Unforced Errors
2844
Net Points Won
79% (11/14)60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
66% (59/90)53% (42/79)
Return Points Won
47% (37/79)34% (31/90)
Total Points Won
57% (96/169)43% (73/169)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)54% (7/13)
Return Games Won
46% (6/13)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
69% (18/26)31% (8/26)

Chances of winning


Dusan Lajovic
59.3%
Alexander Bublik
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dusan Lajovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dusan Lajovic - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.5)

    2.29
    (2.6)
    7.5%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Dusan Lajovic - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alexander Bublik will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lajovic is ranked ATP: 109. Bublik is ranked ATP: 77.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Lajovic will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    Latest results of Dusan Lajovic
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Mensik J.Marozsan F.
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Medvedev D. (7)TBD #18
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2