Dusan Lajovic vs Alexander Bublik – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Monte Carlo Dusan Lajovic - Alexander Bublik
Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 10:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
66%52%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (41/59)63% (26/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
58% (18/31)42% (16/38)
Break Points Saved
89% (8/9)25% (2/8)
1st Return Points Won
37% (15/41)31% (18/59)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (22/38)42% (13/31)
Break Points Converted
75% (6/8)11% (1/9)
Winners
1925
Unforced Errors
2844
Net Points Won
79% (11/14)60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
66% (59/90)53% (42/79)
Return Points Won
47% (37/79)34% (31/90)
Total Points Won
57% (96/169)43% (73/169)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
92% (12/13)54% (7/13)
Return Games Won
46% (6/13)8% (1/13)
Total Games Won
69% (18/26)31% (8/26)

Chances of winning


Dusan Lajovic
59.3%
Alexander Bublik
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dusan Lajovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dusan Lajovic - Alexander Bublik Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.5)

    2.29
    (2.6)
    7.5%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Dusan Lajovic - Alexander Bublik?
  • Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alexander Bublik will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lajovic is ranked ATP: 109. Bublik is ranked ATP: 77.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Lajovic will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    Latest results of Dusan Lajovic
    Latest results of Alexander Bublik
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bye
    2Navone M. (Q)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    3Lehecka J.Korda S.2 : 0
    4Bu Y. (Q)Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    5Rune H. (RET.) (10)Borges N.0 : 1
    6Sonego L.Martinez P.1 : 2
    7Thompson J.Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    8ByeTsitsipas S. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    10Wawrinka S. (WC)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    11Struff J-L.Vacherot V. (WC)0 : 2
    12Jarry N.Dimitrov G. (15)0 : 2
    13Medvedev D. (9)Khachanov K.2 : 1
    14Muller A.Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)2 : 0
    15Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (8)
    17Draper J. (5)Bye
    18Giron M.Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    19Etcheverry T. M.Moutet C. (Q)2 : 1
    20Davidovich Fokina A.Shelton B. (11)2 : 1
    21Tiafoe F. (14)Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    22Popyrin A.Humbert U.2 : 1
    23Bautista-Agut R.Nakashima B.2 : 0
    24ByeRuud C. (4)
    25Rublev A. (7)Bye
    26Monfils G.Marozsan F. (Q)2 : 1
    27Lajovic D. (Q)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    28Griekspoor T.Fils A. (12)1 : 2
    29Auger-Aliassime F. (16)Altmaier D. (Q)0 : 2
    30Arnaldi M.Gasquet R. (WC)1 : 2
    31Fognini F. (WC)Cerundolo F.0 : 2
    32ByeAlcaraz C. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Berrettini M.1 : 2
    2Lehecka J.Musetti L. (13)1 : 2
    3Borges N.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4Thompson J.Tsitsipas S. (6)1 : 2
    5Djokovic N. (3)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    6Vacherot V.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    7Medvedev D. (9)Muller A.2 : 1
    8Machac T.De Minaur A. (8)1 : 2
    9Draper J. (5)Giron M.2 : 0
    10Etcheverry T. M.Davidovich Fokina A.0 : 2
    11Tiafoe F. (14)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    12Bautista-Agut R.Ruud C. (4)0 : 2
    13Rublev A. (7)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Cobolli F.Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    15Altmaier D.Gasquet R.2 : 1
    16Cerundolo F.Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Berrettini M.Musetti L. (13)0 : 2
    2Borges N.Tsitsipas S. (6)0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Dimitrov G. (15)1 : 2
    4Medvedev D. (9)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    5Draper J. (5)Davidovich Fokina A.1 : 2
    6Popyrin A.Ruud C. (4)2 : 1
    7Rublev A. (7)Fils A. (12)0 : 2
    8Altmaier D.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)Tsitsipas S. (6)2 : 1
    2Dimitrov G. (15)De Minaur A. (8)0 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    4Fils A. (12)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (13)De Minaur A. (8)2 : 1
    2Davidovich Fokina A.Alcaraz C. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (13)Alcaraz C. (2)1 : 2