Dusan Lajovic vs Arthur Rinderknech – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
24/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
110
Double Faults
21
1st serve percentage
69%79%
1st serve points won
59% (20/34)79% (33/42)
2nd serve points won
40% (6/15)64% (7/11)
Break Points Saved
3/63/3
1st return points won
21% (9/42)41% (14/34)
2nd return points won
36% (4/11)60% (9/15)
Break Points Converted
0/33/6
Winners
1130
Unforced errors
1212
Net points won
100% (3/3)53% (8/15)
Service Points Won
54% (26/48)75% (40/53)
Return Points Won
25% (13/53)46% (22/48)
Total Points Won
39% (39/101)61% (62/101)
Last 10 balls
19
Match points saved
00
Service games won
63% (5/8)100% (9/9)
Return games won
0% (0/9)38% (3/8)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Dusan Lajovic
40.2%
Arthur Rinderknech
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 70.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dusan Lajovic's performance.
  • Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-11%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dusan Lajovic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+11%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dusan Lajovic - Arthur Rinderknech Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.69)

    1.6
    (1.42)
    4.6%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Dusan Lajovic - Arthur Rinderknech?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rinderknech: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lajovic is ranked ATP: 138. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 26.
    • Lajovic is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Rinderknech's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Lajovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rinderknech might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lajovic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Dusan Lajovic
    Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1Moller E.
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5Rinderknech A. (22)
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Nava E.
    7TBD #13Michelsen A. (33)
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2