Dusan Lajovic vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Seville Challenger Men Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta
Result
2:1
04/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
71%73%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (47/60)70% (45/64)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (13/25)54% (13/24)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
30% (19/64)22% (13/60)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (11/24)48% (12/25)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)25% (1/4)
Service Points Won
71% (60/85)66% (58/88)
Return Points Won
34% (30/88)29% (25/85)
Total Points Won
52% (90/173)48% (83/173)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (13/14)86% (12/14)
Return Games Won
14% (2/14)7% (1/14)
Total Games Won
54% (15/28)46% (13/28)

Chances of winning


Dusan Lajovic
45.2%
Pablo Carreno-Busta
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.8% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 61%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dusan Lajovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dusan Lajovic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Carreno-Busta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.09)

    1.7
    (1.63)
    7%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Dusan Lajovic - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lajovic: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dusan Lajovic will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lajovic is ranked ATP: 128. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 137.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lajovic won 2.
    • Lajovic is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Carreno Busta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lajovic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lajovic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Dusan Lajovic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Carballes Baena R. (RET.) (1)Olivieri G. A.1 : 1
    2Martin Tiffon P.Rocha H.0 : 2
    3Forejtek J. (Q)Giustino L. (Alt)2 : 0
    4Ramos A.Gaubas V. (8)1 : 2
    5Lajovic D. (4)Ymer E.2 : 1
    6Strombachs R. (Q)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    7Bueno G.Barranco Cosano J. (WC)0 : 2
    8Rincon D. (Alt)Carreno-Busta P. (7)0 : 2
    9Barrios Vera T. (5)Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)0 : 2
    10Lopez Montagud C. (Q)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    11Merida Aguilar D.Negritu Ch.2 : 1
    12Alvarez Varona N.Faria J. (3)1 : 2
    13Buse I. (6)Zapata Miralles B. (WC)2 : 0
    14Diaz Acosta F.Llamas Ruiz P. (WC)0 : 2
    15Den Ouden G.Kellovsky D. (Q)2 : 1
    16Martinez A. (Q)Taberner C. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Olivieri G. A.Rocha H.2 : 1
    2Forejtek J.Gaubas V. (8)1 : 2
    3Lajovic D. (4)Ferreira Silva F.2 : 0
    4Barranco Cosano J.Carreno-Busta P. (7)0 : 2
    5Jorda Sanchis D.Lopez Montagud C.2 : 1
    6Merida Aguilar D.Faria J. (3)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (6)Llamas Ruiz P.2 : 0
    8Den Ouden G. (RET.)Taberner C. (2)0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Olivieri G. A.Gaubas V. (8)2 : 1
    2Lajovic D. (4)Carreno-Busta P. (7)2 : 1
    3Jorda Sanchis D.Merida Aguilar D.0 : 2
    4Buse I. (6)Taberner C. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Olivieri G. A.Lajovic D. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    2Merida Aguilar D.Buse I. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Olivieri G. A.Buse I. (6)1 : 2