Thiago Monteiro vs Dusan Lajovic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
512
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
75%65%
1st serve points won
68% (52/77)73% (43/59)
2nd serve points won
36% (9/25)28% (9/32)
Break Points Saved
79% (11/14)60% (6/10)
1st return points won
27% (16/59)32% (25/77)
2nd return points won
72% (23/32)64% (16/25)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)21% (3/14)
Winners
3446
Unforced errors
2137
Net points won
43% (6/14)60% (9/15)
Service Points Won
60% (61/102)57% (52/91)
Return Points Won
43% (39/91)40% (41/102)
Total Points Won
52% (100/193)48% (93/193)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
01
Service games won
77% (10/13)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)23% (3/13)
Total games won
54% (14/26)46% (12/26)

Chances of winning


Thiago Monteiro
51.6%
Dusan Lajovic
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 53.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thiago Monteiro's performance.
  • Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dusan Lajovic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (2.05)

    1.95
    (1.78)
    6.2%
    (5%)
    What is the prediction for Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Thiago Monteiro will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thiago Monteiro will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Monteiro is ranked ATP: 209. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 123.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monteiro won 4.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Monteiro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Monteiro won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thiago Monteiro - Dusan Lajovic were as follows:
    25.04.2024 Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro 0:2
    22.10.2022 Dusan Lajovic - Thiago Monteiro 0:2
    Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
    Latest results of Dusan Lajovic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Garin C.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    3Tabilo A.Nava E.2 : 0
    4Prizmic D. (Q)Passaro F. (LL)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Monteiro T. (Q)2 : 0
    6Marcondes I. (Q)Buse I.1 : 2
    7Barrios Vera T. (LL)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    8Lajovic D. (LL)Altmaier D. (7)2 : 0
    9Etcheverry T. M. (8)Comesana F.2 : 1
    10Miguel L. (WC)Gaubas V. (Q)1 : 2
    11Dzumhur D.Martinez P.2 : 1
    12Faria J. (LL)Baez S. (4)2 : 0
    13Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    14Heide G. (WC)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    15Hanfmann Y.Reis Da Silva J. (WC)2 : 0
    16Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1)Tirante T. A.0 : 1
    2Tabilo A.Passaro F.2 : 1
    3Fonseca J. (3)Buse I.1 : 2
    4Berrettini M.Lajovic D.2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (8)Gaubas V.2 : 0
    6Dzumhur D.Faria J.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Kopriva V.0 : 2
    8Hanfmann Y.Cerundolo J. M.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Tabilo A.1 : 2
    2Buse I.Berrettini M.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M. (8)Faria J.2 : 0
    4Kopriva V.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Tabilo A.Buse I.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M. (8)Kopriva V.2 : 1

    Final
    1Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)1 : 2