Dynamo Dresden vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden).

2. Bundesliga - Round 24
Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Brazil	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.22	1.22
Ball possession
49%	51%
Total shots
19	17
Shots on target
7	7
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
1	7
Passes
85% (401/470)	87% (409/469)
Yellow cards
3	1
Red cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.22	1.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.66	1.59
Total shots
19	17
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
6	4
Shots inside the box
12	9
Shots outside the box
7	8
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	1
Corner kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
30	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free kicks
13	18
Passes
85% (401/470)	87% (409/469)
Long passes
42% (20/48)	58% (35/60)
Passes in final third
70% (67/96)	74% (76/103)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	29% (8/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.80	0.88
Throw ins
13	16
Fouls
18	13
Tackles
70% (7/10)	60% (6/10)
Duels won
41	40
Clearances
24	17
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
7	4
xGOT faced
1.59	1.66
Goals prevented
0.59	-1.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Keller T. 🟨,
42', Pfeiffer P. 🟥,
45', 1 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Bobzien B. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Petretta R. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
52', Lemmer J. 🟨,
53', Lemmer J. 🟨,
56', Amoako K. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
58', Marseiler L. 🟨,
74', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
74', Hauptmann N. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
74', Pauli J. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
79', Lopez S. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
79', Akiyama H. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Daferner C. ⚽,
84', Bobzien B. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Furukawa Y. ⚽, Vukotic A. (A),

Chances of winning

Dynamo Dresden
36.9%

Draw
27.3%

Darmstadt
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.5%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

26%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Dresden's performance.

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darmstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Dresden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darmstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.06)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	2.61 ↑ (2.16)	6.1% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 23.2% – 66.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 20%). Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Darmstadt (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Darmstadt (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Darmstadt (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.
In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Darmstadt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury) Nurnberger F. (Injury) Richter M. (Yellow Cards)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Darmstadt?

Dynamo Dresden has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Dynamo Dresden?

Darmstadt has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt were as follows:

26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0

30.10.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt 2:3

Latest results of Dynamo Dresden

22.02.2026 Hannover - Dynamo Dresden 0:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg 1:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Darmstadt

21.02.2026 Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Darmstadt - Kaiserslautern 4:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺

23.01.2026 Darmstadt - Nürnberg 2:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	27	15	7	5	38:24	14	52
2	Elversberg	27	15	6	6	47:29	18	51
3	Paderborn	27	15	6	6	45:31	14	51
4	Darmstadt	27	13	11	3	49:30	19	50
5	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46:34	12	49
6	Hertha Berlin	27	12	8	7	42:33	9	44
7	Kaiserslautern	27	12	4	11	45:41	4	40
8	Karlsruher SC	27	10	7	10	43:51	-8	37
9	Nurnberg	27	10	6	11	37:37	0	36
10	Bochum	27	8	9	10	38:36	2	33
11	Dusseldorf	27	9	4	14	26:40	-14	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	27	7	8	12	45:46	-1	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29:44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40:59	-19	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	27	7	7	13	39:39	0	28
16	Holstein Kiel	27	7	7	13	34:42	-8	28
17	Magdeburg	27	8	3	16	39:50	-11	27
18	Preussen Munster	27	6	8	13	31:47	-16	26

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga