Darmstadt vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.42
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
78% (274/353)86% (475/550)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.00
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
78% (274/353)86% (475/550)
Long passes
49% (31/63)31% (13/42)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)74% (70/95)
Crosses
19% (4/21)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.46
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1513
Tackles
50% (5/10)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4351
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.28
Goals prevented
0.00-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Lidberg I. , Richter M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Hornby F. , Corredor K. (A),
  • 55', Hauptmann N. 🟨,
  • 64', Froling N. , Lemmer J. ,
  • 64', Oehmichen J. , Kother D. ,
  • 66', Richter M. 🟨,
  • 71', Richter M. , Marseiler L. ,
  • 74', Daferner C. , Boeder L. ,
  • 74', Hauptmann N. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 74', Amoako K. , Herrmann L. ,
  • 82', Hornby F. , Bialek B. ,
  • 84', Bialek B. 🟨,
  • 90', Akiyama H. , Papela M. ,
  • 90', Lidberg I. , Boetius J-P. ,

Chances of winning


Darmstadt
55.2%
Draw
22.6%
Dynamo Dresden
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 25% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 24.6% 21%

Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.71
(1.72)
4.15
(3.7)
4.31
(4.35)
5.7%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Dynamo Dresden (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Darmstadt (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Darmstadt (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Darmstadt (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.84%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Darmstadt will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5.
    • Darmstadt is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dynamo Dresden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Darmstadt is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A. (Muscle Injury) Sapina V. (Red Card) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Darmstadt: Nurnberger F. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
    30.10.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt 2:3
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke18122422:101238
    2Elversberg18104433:181534
    3Darmstadt1897232:201234
    4Paderborn18103528:20833
    5Kaiserslautern1893632:221030
    6Hannover1885531:25629
    7Hertha Berlin1885521:16529
    8Nurnberg1874722:25-325
    9Karlsruher SC1874727:33-625
    10Holstein Kiel1865722:22023
    11Bochum1864826:25122
    12Magdeburg18621024:29-520
    13Preussen Munster1855822:28-620
    14Dusseldorf18621016:27-1120
    15Braunschweig18621020:32-1220
    16Arminia Bielefeld1854927:25219
    17SG Dynamo Dresden18441026:34-816
    18Greuther Furth18431126:46-2015

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga