Result
3:1
27/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
- Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (401/470) | 87% (409/469) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (401/470) | 87% (409/469) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 58% (35/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (67/96) | 74% (76/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | -1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', Keller T. 🟨,
- 42', Pfeiffer P. 🟥,
- 45', 1 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Bobzien B. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Petretta R. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
- 52', Lemmer J. 🟨,
- 53', Lemmer J. 🟨,
- 56', Amoako K. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
- 58', Marseiler L. 🟨,
- 74', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
- 74', Hauptmann N. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
- 74', Pauli J. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
- 79', Lopez S. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
- 79', Akiyama H. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 0, Daferner C. ⚽,
- 84', Bobzien B. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Furukawa Y. ⚽, Vukotic A. (A),
Chances of winning
Dynamo Dresden
36.9% | Draw
27.3% | Darmstadt
35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dynamo Dresden's performance.Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darmstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dynamo Dresden that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darmstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↓
(3.06) |
3.46 ↓
(3.5) |
2.61 ↑
(2.16) |
6.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 9 - 45%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 35%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 23.2% – 66.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 20%). Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Darmstadt (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Darmstadt (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Darmstadt (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.
- In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Darmstadt is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M.
(Knee Injury)
Bialek B.
(Ankle Injury)
Nurnberger F.
(Injury)
Richter M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Darmstadt?
Dynamo Dresden has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Darmstadt won against Dynamo Dresden?
Darmstadt has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt were as follows:
26.09.2025
Darmstadt
-
Dynamo Dresden
2:0
30.10.2024
Dynamo Dresden
-
Darmstadt
2:3
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
Latest results of Darmstadt
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
