Darmstadt vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden
Result
2:0
26/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Alt P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.42
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
40
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
78% (274/353)86% (475/550)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.42
xG on target (xGOT)
1.280.00
Total shots
1112
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
78% (274/353)86% (475/550)
Long passes
49% (31/63)31% (13/42)
Passes in final third
60% (56/93)74% (70/95)
Crosses
19% (4/21)11% (2/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.46
Throw-ins
1917
Fouls
1513
Tackles
50% (5/10)50% (8/16)
Duels won
4351
Clearances
2221
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.28
Goals prevented
0.00-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Lidberg I. , Richter M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 0, Hornby F. , Corredor K. (A),
  • 55', Hauptmann N. 🟨,
  • 64', Froling N. , Lemmer J. ,
  • 64', Oehmichen J. , Kother D. ,
  • 66', Richter M. 🟨,
  • 71', Richter M. , Marseiler L. ,
  • 74', Daferner C. , Boeder L. ,
  • 74', Hauptmann N. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 74', Amoako K. , Herrmann L. ,
  • 82', Hornby F. , Bialek B. ,
  • 84', Bialek B. 🟨,
  • 90', Akiyama H. , Papela M. ,
  • 90', Lidberg I. , Boetius J-P. ,

Chances of winning


Darmstadt
55.2%
Draw
22.6%
Dynamo Dresden
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 25% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 24.6% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.72)
    4.15
    (3.7)
    4.31
    (4.35)
    5.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.84%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Darmstadt will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5.
    • Darmstadt is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dynamo Dresden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Darmstadt is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A. (Muscle Injury) Sapina V. (Red Card) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Darmstadt: Nurnberger F. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
    30.10.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt 2:3
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Elversberg861116:61019
    2Schalke860210:5518
    3Darmstadt852114:6817
    4Paderborn852111:5617
    5Hannover852115:10517
    6Kaiserslautern850315:9615
    7Karlsruher SC843111:9215
    8Hertha Berlin83239:7211
    9Arminia Bielefeld831414:12210
    10Holstein Kiel83149:8110
    11Preussen Munster831413:15-210
    12Greuther Furth831415:18-310
    13Dusseldorf83148:15-710
    14Nurnberg82157:12-57
    15Braunschweig82159:16-77
    16SG Dynamo Dresden813412:16-46
    17Bochum81078:15-73
    18Magdeburg81077:19-123

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga