Elversberg vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden
Result
2:2
14/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, SportKlub 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.641.83
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
86% (421/489)73% (196/267)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.641.83
xG on target (xGOT)
2.051.73
Total shots
2211
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
155
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
488
Accurate through passes
21
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
128
Passes
86% (421/489)73% (196/267)
Long passes
43% (21/49)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
79% (124/157)50% (39/78)
Crosses
32% (10/31)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
2.650.79
Throw-ins
2624
Fouls
812
Tackles
60% (9/15)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4044
Clearances
1736
Interceptions
13
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.732.05
Goals prevented
-0.270.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Daferner C. ,
  • 9', Sapina V. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 1, Ebnoutalib Y. , Zimmerschied T. (A),
  • 17', Boeder L. 🟨,
  • 32', Herrmann L. , Kother D. ,
  • 39', 1 - 2, Lemmer J. , Hauptmann N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 63', Pauli J. , Bunning L. ,
  • 63', Amoako K. , Casar A. ,
  • 63', Gunther L. , Mickelson N. ,
  • 63', Gyamerah J. , Keidel F. ,
  • 70', Hauptmann N. , Froling N. ,
  • 70', Daferner C. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 76', Petkov L. , Schmahl F. ,
  • 76', Conde A. , Ceka J. ,
  • 89', Zimmerschied T. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Ebnoutalib Y. , Poreba L. (A),
  • 90+4', Bunning L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kutschke S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Elversberg
47.9%
Draw
25.9%
Dynamo Dresden
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.8% 24.8% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 24.2% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Elversberg aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (2.01)
    3.65
    (3.8)
    3.64
    (3.31)
    5.3%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.37%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Elversberg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Dynamo Dresden's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Elversberg has had a series of away games.
    • Elversberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Mahmoud M. (Inactive) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A. (Inactive) Vermeij V. (Back Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elversberg: Zimmerschied T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Elversberg will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
    26.02.2023 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 1:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    29.08.2025 Hertha Berlin - Elversberg 0:2
    17.08.2025 Ulm 1846 - Elversberg 0:1
    10.08.2025 Bochum - Elversberg 2:0
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt751113:5816
    2Elversberg751112:6616
    3Hannover751113:8516
    4Schalke75028:4415
    5Paderborn74219:4514
    6Karlsruher SC74218:6214
    7Kaiserslautern740312:7512
    8Arminia Bielefeld731313:10310
    9Preussen Munster731312:13-110
    10Dusseldorf73136:12-610
    11Holstein Kiel73048:719
    12Greuther Furth730413:16-39
    13Hertha Berlin72237:618
    14Braunschweig72148:14-67
    15SG Dynamo Dresden71249:13-45
    16Nurnberg71154:10-64
    17Bochum71066:12-63
    18Magdeburg71067:15-83

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