Dynamo Dresden vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden).

2. Bundesliga - Round 22
Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Iceland	Viaplay
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tivibu Spor 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.03
Ball possession
44%	56%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	5
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
5	6
Passes
76% (290/384)	83% (407/493)
Yellow cards
3	3
Expected goals (xG)
0.76	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.74	1.11
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
9	9
Shots outside the box
5	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
28	34
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
13	14
Passes
76% (290/384)	83% (407/493)
Long passes
38% (23/61)	55% (32/58)
Passes in final third
61% (74/121)	72% (108/149)
Crosses
13% (2/16)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.64	1.11
Throw ins
20	18
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
67% (14/21)	80% (8/10)
Duels won
51	47
Clearances
35	29
Interceptions
12	13
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	3
xGOT faced
1.11	0.74
Goals prevented
0.11	-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Poreba L. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Rossipal A. ⚽, Bobzien B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Keller T. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Mickelson N. ⚽, Rohr M. (A),
59', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
59', Bobzien B. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
65', Amoako K. 🟨,
71', Mickelson N. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
71', Amoako K. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
72', Ceka J. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Petkov L. ⚽,
79', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
80', Rohr M. 🟨,
82', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Pherai I. ↑,
82', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Le Joncour F. ↑,
82', Rohr M. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
85', Sterner J. 🟨,
89', Keidel F. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
90+5', Kristof N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Dynamo Dresden
30.2%

Draw
27.3%

Elversberg
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

26.7%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

26%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.18)	3.46 ↓ (3.47)	2.21 ↑ (2.1)	6.5% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Elversberg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 4).
Dynamo Dresden is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Elversberg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Elversberg could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Elversberg: Gunther L. (Muscle Injury) Pantschenko D. (Illness) Pherai I. (Calf Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Elversberg?

Dynamo Dresden has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Dynamo Dresden?

Elversberg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg were as follows:

14.09.2025 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 2:2

26.02.2023 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 1:1

Latest results of Dynamo Dresden

07.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Magdeburg - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺

17.01.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Greuther Fürth 2:0 ✺

06.01.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Aarau 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Elversberg

07.02.2026 Elversberg - Hertha Berlin 0:3 ✺

31.01.2026 Kaiserslautern - Elversberg 1:3 ✺

25.01.2026 Elversberg - Bochum 1:1 ✺

17.01.2026 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:2 ✺

21.12.2025 Preußen Münster - Elversberg 1:1 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	27	15	7	5	38:24	14	52
2	Elversberg	27	15	6	6	47:29	18	51
3	Paderborn	27	15	6	6	45:31	14	51
4	Darmstadt	27	13	11	3	49:30	19	50
5	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46:34	12	49
6	Hertha Berlin	27	12	8	7	42:33	9	44
7	Kaiserslautern	27	12	4	11	45:41	4	40
8	Karlsruher SC	27	10	7	10	43:51	-8	37
9	Nurnberg	27	10	6	11	37:37	0	36
10	Bochum	27	8	9	10	38:36	2	33
11	Dusseldorf	27	9	4	14	26:40	-14	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	27	7	8	12	45:46	-1	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29:44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40:59	-19	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	27	7	7	13	39:39	0	28
16	Holstein Kiel	27	7	7	13	34:42	-8	28
17	Magdeburg	27	8	3	16	39:50	-11	27
18	Preussen Munster	27	6	8	13	31:47	-16	26

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
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      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga