Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 14
  • Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3, Nova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.83
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
80% (285/356)85% (414/488)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.47
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
80% (285/356)85% (414/488)
Long passes
32% (17/53)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
63% (55/88)73% (89/122)
Crosses
9% (2/22)50% (12/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.301.01
Throw-ins
1825
Fouls
1213
Tackles
57% (8/14)40% (6/15)
Duels won
3949
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.471.66
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Kastenmeier F. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Rossipal A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. , Hauptmann N. (A),
  • 59', Muller F. 🟨,
  • 63', Heyer M. , Rasmussen C. ,
  • 63', Raimund L. , Celar Z. ,
  • 71', Lemmer J. , Froling N. ,
  • 71', Herrmann L. , Sapina V. ,
  • 73', Muslija F. , Schmidt D. ,
  • 73', Suso S. , Appelkamp S. ,
  • 78', Breithaupt T. , Anhari H. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Rasmussen C. , Itten C. (A),
  • 85', Vermeij V. , Daferner C. ,
  • 85', Amoako K. , Casar A. ,
  • 90', Hauptmann N. , Oehmichen J. ,
  • 90+12', Daland J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
41.3%
Draw
27.7%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.8% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.2% 32.4%

Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.3
(2.42)
3.42
(3.2)
3.05
(2.78)
5.5%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Fortuna will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 24.9%69.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Menzel T. (Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Sapina V. (Inactive) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) El Azzouzi A. (Yellow Cards) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Zimmermann M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:0
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt21118240:221841
    2Schalke21124526:161040
    3Paderborn21123633:24939
    4Elversberg21115537:231438
    5Hannover21115538:281038
    6Hertha Berlin2197528:20834
    7Kaiserslautern2194835:31431
    8Bochum2176830:27327
    9Karlsruher SC2176830:37-727
    10Nurnberg2175924:30-626
    11Arminia Bielefeld2166933:30324
    12Holstein Kiel2166926:29-324
    13Dusseldorf21731120:31-1124
    14Braunschweig21731123:35-1224
    15Magdeburg21721231:37-623
    16Preussen Munster2157925:32-722
    17SG Dynamo Dresden21561031:38-721
    18Greuther Furth21541232:52-2019

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          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga