Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden).

2. Bundesliga - Round 14
Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Canada	DAZN Canada
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3, Nova Sports Start
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	0.83
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	0
Passes
80% (285/356)	85% (414/488)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.81	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.66	0.47
Total shots
16	13
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
9	7
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
11	10
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	0
Touches in opposition box
22	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
80% (285/356)	85% (414/488)
Long passes
32% (17/53)	48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
63% (55/88)	73% (89/122)
Crosses
9% (2/22)	50% (12/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.30	1.01
Throw-ins
18	25
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
57% (8/14)	40% (6/15)
Duels won
39	49
Clearances
25	22
Interceptions
11	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.47	1.66
Goals prevented
-0.53	-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Kastenmeier F. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Rossipal A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
59', Muller F. 🟨,
63', Heyer M. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
63', Raimund L. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
71', Lemmer J. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
71', Herrmann L. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
73', Muslija F. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
73', Suso S. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
78', Breithaupt T. ↓, Anhari H. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Rasmussen C. ⚽, Itten C. (A),
85', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
85', Amoako K. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
90', Hauptmann N. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
90+12', Daland J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Dynamo Dresden
41.3%

Draw
27.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.8%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.42)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	3.05 ↑ (2.78)	5.5% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Fortuna will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 24.9% – 69.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Menzel T. (Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Sapina V. (Inactive) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) El Azzouzi A. (Yellow Cards) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Zimmermann M. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Dynamo Dresden has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against Dynamo Dresden?

Fortuna Düsseldorf has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:

18.08.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:0

Latest results of Dynamo Dresden

21.11.2025 Bochum - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺

07.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg 1:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Hertha Berlin - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Paderborn 1:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Preußen Münster - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf

22.11.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Magdeburg 2:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺

02.11.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Kaiserslautern 1:1 ✺

29.10.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Freiburg 1:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:0 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Schalke	27	15	7	5	38:24	14	52
2	Elversberg	27	15	6	6	47:29	18	51
3	Paderborn	27	15	6	6	45:31	14	51
4	Darmstadt	27	13	11	3	49:30	19	50
5	Hannover	27	14	7	6	46:34	12	49
6	Hertha Berlin	27	12	8	7	42:33	9	44
7	Kaiserslautern	27	12	4	11	45:41	4	40
8	Karlsruher SC	27	10	7	10	43:51	-8	37
9	Nurnberg	27	10	6	11	37:37	0	36
10	Bochum	27	8	9	10	38:36	2	33
11	Dusseldorf	27	9	4	14	26:40	-14	31
12	SG Dynamo Dresden	27	7	8	12	45:46	-1	29
13	Braunschweig	27	8	5	14	29:44	-15	29
14	Greuther Furth	27	8	5	14	40:59	-19	29
15	Arminia Bielefeld	27	7	7	13	39:39	0	28
16	Holstein Kiel	27	7	7	13	34:42	-8	28
17	Magdeburg	27	8	3	16	39:50	-11	27
18	Preussen Munster	27	6	8	13	31:47	-16	26

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga