Dynamo Dresden vs Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 14
  • Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3, Nova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.83
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
40
Passes
80% (285/356)85% (414/488)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.810.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.47
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
97
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
40
Touches in opposition box
2222
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
80% (285/356)85% (414/488)
Long passes
32% (17/53)48% (24/50)
Passes in final third
63% (55/88)73% (89/122)
Crosses
9% (2/22)50% (12/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.301.01
Throw-ins
1825
Fouls
1213
Tackles
57% (8/14)40% (6/15)
Duels won
3949
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.471.66
Goals prevented
-0.53-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', Kastenmeier F. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Rossipal A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. , Hauptmann N. (A),
  • 59', Muller F. 🟨,
  • 63', Heyer M. , Rasmussen C. ,
  • 63', Raimund L. , Celar Z. ,
  • 71', Lemmer J. , Froling N. ,
  • 71', Herrmann L. , Sapina V. ,
  • 73', Muslija F. , Schmidt D. ,
  • 73', Suso S. , Appelkamp S. ,
  • 78', Breithaupt T. , Anhari H. ,
  • 84', 2 - 1, Rasmussen C. , Itten C. (A),
  • 85', Vermeij V. , Daferner C. ,
  • 85', Amoako K. , Casar A. ,
  • 90', Hauptmann N. , Oehmichen J. ,
  • 90+12', Daland J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
41.3%
Draw
27.7%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.8% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.2% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.42)
    3.42
    (3.2)
    3.05
    (2.78)
    5.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Fortuna will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 24.9%69.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Menzel T. (Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Sapina V. (Inactive) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S. (Muscle Injury) El Azzouzi A. (Yellow Cards) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Lunddal V. (Foot Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury) Zimmermann M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
    18.08.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:0
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke29177541:251658
    2Paderborn29176651:341757
    3Hannover29158649:351453
    4Elversberg29157749:321752
    5Darmstadt291311550:341650
    6Hertha Berlin29138843:34947
    7Kaiserslautern291441149:41846
    8Karlsruher SC291171147:53-640
    9Nurnberg291071238:40-237
    10Bochum29991143:41236
    11SG Dynamo Dresden29881347:47032
    12Holstein Kiel29881336:43-732
    13Arminia Bielefeld29871442:44-231
    14Dusseldorf29941627:45-1831
    15Magdeburg29931746:55-930
    16Braunschweig29861531:49-1830
    17Greuther Furth29861540:61-2130
    18Preussen Munster296101331:47-1628

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