Result
2:1
30/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 14
- Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3, Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/356) | 85% (414/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (285/356) | 85% (414/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (55/88) | 73% (89/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 50% (12/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Kastenmeier F. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Rossipal A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 2 - 0, Vermeij V. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
- 59', Muller F. 🟨,
- 63', Heyer M. ↓, Rasmussen C. ↑,
- 63', Raimund L. ↓, Celar Z. ↑,
- 71', Lemmer J. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
- 71', Herrmann L. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
- 73', Muslija F. ↓, Schmidt D. ↑,
- 73', Suso S. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
- 78', Breithaupt T. ↓, Anhari H. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Rasmussen C. ⚽, Itten C. (A),
- 85', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
- 85', Amoako K. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
- 90', Hauptmann N. ↓, Oehmichen J. ↑,
- 90+12', Daland J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Dresden
41.3% | Draw
27.7% | Fortuna Düsseldorf
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↓
(2.42) |
3.42 ↑
(3.2) |
3.05 ↑
(2.78) |
5.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Fortuna will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 24.9% – 69.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Menzel T.
(Injury)
Risch S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Sapina V.
(Inactive)
Zickler J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna: Alexandropoulos S.
(Muscle Injury)
El Azzouzi A.
(Yellow Cards)
Hettwer J.
(Knee Injury)
Lunddal V.
(Foot Injury)
Rossmann T.
(Illness)
Schock F.
(Tendon Injury)
Zimmermann M.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Fortuna Düsseldorf?
Dynamo Dresden has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Düsseldorf won against Dynamo Dresden?
Fortuna Düsseldorf has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf were as follows:
18.08.2024
Dynamo Dresden
-
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2:0
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
Latest results of Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
