Kaiserslautern vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
06/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Referee: Burda M. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.86
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
63% (189/302)75% (328/437)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.280.86
xG on target (xGOT)
2.240.31
Total shots
129
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1818
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
911
Passes
63% (189/302)75% (328/437)
Long passes
30% (22/73)33% (21/64)
Passes in final third
46% (38/83)64% (67/104)
Crosses
16% (3/19)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.94
Throw-ins
2122
Fouls
119
Tackles
82% (9/11)100% (6/6)
Duels won
5357
Clearances
2736
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.312.24
Goals prevented
-0.69-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Skytta N. , Hanslik D. (A),
  • 31', Haas M. 🟨,
  • 35', Rossipal A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Joly P. , Kleinhansl F. ,
  • 46', Lemmer J. 🟨,
  • 52', 2 - 0, Ritter M. ,
  • 55', Amoako K. , Sapina V. ,
  • 55', Froling N. , Kother D. ,
  • 63', Ritter M. 🟨,
  • 63', Faber K. 🟨,
  • 65', Hanslik D. 🟨,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Haas M. ,
  • 70', Herrmann L. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Lemmer J. , Boeder L. (A),
  • 82', Skytta N. , Alidou F. ,
  • 82', Ritter M. , Hofmeister D. ,
  • 84', Boeder L. , Casar A. ,
  • 84', Lemmer J. , Oehmichen J. ,
  • 90+1', Hanslik D. , Muller E. ,
  • 90+1', Sahin S. , Elvedi J. ,
  • 90+2', Oehmichen J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kaiserslautern
45.2%
Draw
25.8%
Dynamo Dresden
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 23.5% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 23% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaiserslautern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kaiserslautern's form might have worsened.
  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Dresden's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kaiserslautern, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Dresden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.71)
    3.64
    (3.95)
    3.26
    (4.15)
    6.2%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kaiserslautern: 40%93.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Dynamo Dresden (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kaiserslautern will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Kaiserslautern (votes: 4 - 80%). Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 1.
    • Recent form of Kaiserslautern has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Dynamo Dresden has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kaiserslautern may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Kaiserslautern is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Asta S. (Knee Injury) Emreli M. (Muscle Injury) Joly P. (Injury) Kim Ji-Soo (Muscle Injury) Redondo K. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Menzel T. (Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kaiserslautern: Prtajin I. (Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.9:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kaiserslautern won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 1.7:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
    10.01.2024 Dynamo Dresden - Kaiserslautern 3:0
    Latest results of Kaiserslautern
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

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