Dynamo Dresden vs Karlsruher – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
3:3
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
israelIsraelSport 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.84
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
81% (352/437)80% (280/351)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.311.84
xG on target (xGOT)
0.512.70
Total shots
1322
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
38
Shots inside the Box
818
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2335
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
81% (352/437)80% (280/351)
Long passes
38% (18/47)53% (28/53)
Passes in final third
70% (80/114)72% (81/113)
Crosses
11% (2/19)61% (11/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.500.99
Throw-ins
2816
Fouls
1012
Tackles
67% (10/15)60% (9/15)
Duels won
5152
Clearances
1848
Interceptions
47
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.700.51
Goals prevented
-0.30-2.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Froling N. ⚽, Risch S. (A),
  • 11', 1 - 1, Beifus M. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
  • 37', 1 - 2, Egloff L. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Amoako K. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
  • 52', 2 - 2, Daferner C. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 3, Schleusener F. ⚽, Pinto Pedrosa R. (A),
  • 68', Oehmichen J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
  • 68', Daferner C. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
  • 74', Froling N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
  • 75', Forster P. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
  • 80', Risch S. ↓, Marx J. H. ↑,
  • 84', Egloff L. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
  • 89', Schleusener F. ↓, Kritzer M. ↑,
  • 90+2', 3 - 3, Lemmer J. ⚽,
  • 90+5', Beifus M. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Kutschke S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
43.6%		Draw
25.9%		Karlsruher
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.1% 32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.4% 31.6%

Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.18 ↓
(2.25)		 3.62 ↑
(3.4)		 3.1 ↑
(2.88)		 5.7%
(8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 40% – 93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dynamo Dresden will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
    • Recent performances by Dynamo Dresden have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Karlsruher is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Dynamo Dresden could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A. (Muscle Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Ersungur A. (Knee Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karlsruher: Franke M. (Back Injury) Jung S. (Back Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    26.09.2025 Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden 2:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Hannover 2:2 ✺
    14.09.2025 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04 0:1 ✺
    24.08.2025 Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    27.09.2025 Karlsruher - Magdeburg 1:0 ✺
    21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Karlsruher - Nürnberg 2:1 ✺
    30.08.2025 Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher 0:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Karlsruher - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:0 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke17121422:101237
    2Elversberg17104331:151634
    3Darmstadt1796229:171233
    4Paderborn17103428:181033
    5Hannover1785430:22829
    6Hertha Berlin1784521:16528
    7Kaiserslautern1783629:21827
    8Nurnberg1764719:23-422
    9Karlsruher SC1764725:33-822
    10Bochum1763823:22121
    11Holstein Kiel1755720:22-220
    12Preussen Munster1755722:26-420
    13Braunschweig1762920:29-920
    14Arminia Bielefeld1754827:24319
    15Magdeburg17521021:29-817
    16Dusseldorf17521015:27-1217
    17Greuther Furth17431026:44-1815
    18SG Dynamo Dresden17341024:34-1013

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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