Result
3:3
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 8
- Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/437) | 80% (280/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 2.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (352/437) | 80% (280/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 53% (28/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (80/114) | 72% (81/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 61% (11/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.30 | -2.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Froling N. ⚽, Risch S. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Beifus M. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
- 37', 1 - 2, Egloff L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Amoako K. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
- 52', 2 - 2, Daferner C. ⚽, Oehmichen J. (A),
- 61', 2 - 3, Schleusener F. ⚽, Pinto Pedrosa R. (A),
- 68', Oehmichen J. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
- 68', Daferner C. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
- 74', Froling N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
- 75', Forster P. ↓, Muller A. ↑,
- 80', Risch S. ↓, Marx J. H. ↑,
- 84', Egloff L. ↓, Simic R. ↑,
- 89', Schleusener F. ↓, Kritzer M. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, Lemmer J. ⚽,
- 90+5', Beifus M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kutschke S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Dresden
43.6% | Draw
25.9% | Karlsruher
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.25) |
3.62 ↑
(3.4) |
3.1 ↑
(2.88) |
5.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dynamo Dresden: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Dynamo Dresden will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone 2. Bundesliga (Relegation) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3.
- Recent performances by Dynamo Dresden have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Karlsruher is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Dynamo Dresden could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A.
(Muscle Injury)
Zickler J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Karlsruher: Ben Farhat L.
(Broken Leg)
Ersungur A.
(Knee Injury)
Sihlaroglu E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Karlsruher: Franke M.
(Back Injury)
Jung S.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Karlsruher?
Dynamo Dresden has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karlsruher won against Dynamo Dresden?
Karlsruher has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher were as follows:
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
Latest results of Karlsruher
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 46 |
| 2 | Darmstadt | 23 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Elversberg | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Paderborn | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 43 |
| 5 | Hannover | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 29 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 27 |
| 12 | Dusseldorf | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Holstein Kiel | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 15 | Preussen Munster | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 23 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 32:40 | -8 | 22 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
