Karlsruher vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
3:3
08/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 25
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.131.39
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
66
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
75
Passes
84% (394/470)86% (431/501)
Yellow cards
20
Expected goals (xG)
3.131.39
xG on target (xGOT)
3.031.34
Total shots
2212
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
123
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
189
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
3322
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1010
Passes
84% (394/470)86% (431/501)
Long passes
54% (34/63)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
70% (87/125)71% (75/106)
Crosses
38% (8/21)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.90
Throw ins
2116
Fouls
1010
Tackles
70% (7/10)47% (8/17)
Duels won
4344
Clearances
1432
Interceptions
812
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.343.03
Goals prevented
-1.660.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Hauptmann N. ⚽, Rossipal A. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Wanitzek M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 28', 1 - 2, Ceka J. ⚽, Wagner R. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 3, Hauptmann N. ⚽, Vermeij V. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kobald C. ↓, Forster P. ↑,
  • 51', Burnic D. 🟨,
  • 66', Burnic D. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Simic R. (A),
  • 69', Hauptmann N. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
  • 77', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
  • 85', Bobzien B. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
  • 85', Ceka J. ↓, Risch S. ↑,
  • 85', Simic R. ↓, Egloff L. ↑,
  • 90+4', 3 - 3, Wanitzek M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+5', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Rapp N. ↑,
  • 90+7', Ben Farhat L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Karlsruher
33.6%		Draw
27.3%		Dynamo Dresden
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 26.1% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 26.2% 36.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
    •

    Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.77 ↑
    (2.51)    		 3.46 ↓
    (3.62)    		 2.43 ↓
    (2.61)    		 6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 24.7% – 66.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Karlsruher may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Knee Injury) Bernat C. (Yellow Cards) Rapp N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Lemmer J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Karlsruher: Egloff L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karlsruher - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Karlsruher 3:3
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    01.03.2026 Magdeburg - Karlsruher 1:3 ✺
    21.02.2026 Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    13.02.2026 Nürnberg - Karlsruher 5:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Eintracht Braunschweig - Karlsruher 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    27.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt 3:1 ✺
    22.02.2026 Hannover - Dynamo Dresden 0:0 ✺
    14.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Schalke 04 - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺
    01.02.2026 Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld 1:1 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke26156537:231451
    2Darmstadt261310348:291949
    3Elversberg26146644:281648
    4Paderborn26146643:301348
    5Hannover26137645:341146
    6Hertha Berlin26118737:31641
    7Kaiserslautern261241045:38740
    8Karlsruher SC26971040:50-1034
    9Bochum2689936:33333
    10Nurnberg26961134:37-333
    11Dusseldorf26941324:35-1131
    12SG Dynamo Dresden26781144:44029
    13Braunschweig26851329:43-1429
    14Greuther Furth26851339:56-1729
    15Arminia Bielefeld26771238:36228
    16Preussen Munster26681230:44-1426
    17Holstein Kiel26671331:40-925
    18Magdeburg26731636:49-1324

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