Dynamo Dresden vs Nürnberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 12
  • Referee: Weisbach E. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.57
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
99
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
81% (347/431)84% (361/429)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.57
xG on target (xGOT)
0.191.53
Total shots
99
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2315
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1812
Passes
81% (347/431)84% (361/429)
Long passes
55% (33/60)60% (21/35)
Passes in final third
68% (105/155)78% (70/90)
Crosses
19% (6/31)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.50
Throw-ins
2518
Fouls
1218
Tackles
64% (16/25)64% (7/11)
Duels won
6647
Clearances
945
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.530.19
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Lubach R. , Stepanov A. (A),
  • 44', Daferner C. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Kother D. , Daferner C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 50', 1 - 2, Janisch T. , Justvan J. (A),
  • 59', Amoako K. , Casar A. ,
  • 59', Daferner C. , Lemmer J. ,
  • 71', Hauptmann N. , Menzel T. ,
  • 71', Marx J. H. , Faber K. ,
  • 73', Lubach R. 🟨,
  • 74', Stepanov A. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 74', Janisch T. , Drexler T. ,
  • 74', Zoma M. A. , Demba P. ,
  • 81', Casar A. 🟨,
  • 81', Kother D. , Oehmichen J. ,
  • 84', Becker F. O. 🟨,
  • 87', Lubach R. , Scobel P. ,
  • 87', Justvan J. , Karafiat O. ,
  • 90+3', Menzel T. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Markhiev A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
37.7%
Draw
26%
Nürnberg
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 24.8% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.1% 34.4%

Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.5
(2.42)
3.64
(3.8)
2.61
(2.61)
5.7%
(6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nürnberg: 17.8%64.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH 0 - Nürnberg (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (1.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 2 - 40%). Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0.
    • Dynamo Dresden is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nürnberg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J. (Hamstring Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Schreiber T. (Hand Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Nürnberg: Buchmann T. (Foot Injury) Chiumento L. (Injury) Danilo Soares (Hamstring Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Lochoshvili L. (Yellow Cards) Maboulou N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    Latest results of Nürnberg
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke18122422:101238
    2Elversberg18104433:181534
    3Darmstadt1897232:201234
    4Paderborn18103528:20833
    5Kaiserslautern1893632:221030
    6Hannover1885531:25629
    7Hertha Berlin1885521:16529
    8Nurnberg1874722:25-325
    9Karlsruher SC1874727:33-625
    10Holstein Kiel1865722:22023
    11Bochum1864826:25122
    12Magdeburg18621024:29-520
    13Preussen Munster1855822:28-620
    14Dusseldorf18621016:27-1120
    15Braunschweig18621020:32-1220
    16Arminia Bielefeld1854927:25219
    17SG Dynamo Dresden18441026:34-816
    18Greuther Furth18431126:46-2015

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