Dynamo Kyiv vs Aris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1 penalties
17/08/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS
  • Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceNova Sports

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dynamo Kyiv
49.5%
Draw
26.9%
Aris
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 25.6% 23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 24.9% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Kyiv than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Dynamo Kyiv - Aris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.81)
    3.48
    (3.62)
    3.99
    (3.97)
    6.5%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Kyiv - Aris?
  • Users Predictions: Dynamo Kyiv will win (43 of 48 users predict this - 89.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.94%98.22%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium. 1st leg result: 0-1.
    • Dynamo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Aris is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Dynamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Dynamo is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Dynamo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Kyiv - Aris were as follows:
    10.08.2023 Aris - Dynamo Kyiv 1:0
    16.07.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Aris 4:0
    Latest results of Dynamo Kyiv
    10.08.2023 Aris - Dynamo Kyiv 1:0
    04.08.2023 Obolon - Dynamo Kyiv 2:4
    30.07.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Mynai 4:1
    19.07.2023 Al-Hilal - Dynamo Kyiv 0:1
    16.07.2023 Dynamo Kyiv - Aris 4:0
    Latest results of Aris
    15.08.2023 Aris - Raków Częstochowa 0:1
    10.08.2023 Aris - Dynamo Kyiv 1:0
    08.08.2023 Raków Częstochowa - Aris 2:1
    03.08.2023 Aris - Ararat-Armenia 1:0
    01.08.2023 BATE Borisov - Aris 3:5
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)2 : 1, 1 : 3
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)4 : 0, 2 : 1
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)2 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)2 : 1, 2 : 1
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)2 : 0, 0 : 4
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)1 : 1, 1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shakhtar Donetsk (6)AZ Alkmaar (14)
    2Crystal Palace (10)Fiorentina (15)
    3Rayo Vallecano (5)AEK Athens (3)
    4Mainz (7)Strasbourg (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2