Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 19
- Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.35 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (193/361) | 32% (79/244) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (193/361) | 32% (79/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (31/114) | 15% (17/110) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (69/155) | 22% (23/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Jocic B. 🟨,
- 25', 1 - 0, Agalarov G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 29', Siwe J. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Shabanhaxhaj D. ⚽,
- 45', Apshatsev M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jocic B. ↓, Lobov N. ↑,
- 46', Apshatsev M. ↓, Saavedra I. ↑,
- 65', Magomedov R. ↓, Hosseinnejad M. ↑,
- 72', Agalarov G. ↓, Miro ↑,
- 76', Hodza V. ↓, Gripshi N. ↑,
- 77', Saavedra I. 🟨,
- 82', Siwe J. ↓, Motorin D. N. ↑,
- 86', Sundukov T. ↓, Mastouri H. ↑,
- 89', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Mastouri H. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Dynamo Makhachkala 36.3% | Draw 34.2% | Rubin Kazan 29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Makhachkala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.69 ↑ (2.66) |
2.86 ↓ (2.9) |
3.32 ↑ (3.13) |
2.4% (4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Rubin will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 7).
- Dynamo Makhachkala is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Rubin is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Dynamo Makhachkala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rubin has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Sandrachuk A.
(Knee Injury)
Tabidze J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U.
(Muscle Injury)
Maldonado D.
(Foot Injury)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Rubin Kazan?
Dynamo Makhachkala has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Dynamo Makhachkala?
Rubin Kazan has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Makhachkala - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
12.09.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
1:0
07.12.2024
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Rubin Kazan
2:3
23.08.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
27.05.2023
Rubin Kazan
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
06.11.2022
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Rubin Kazan
0:1
Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39:13 | 26 | 43 |
| 2 | Zenit | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 35:12 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 41:24 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | CSKA Moscow | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 36 |
| 5 | Baltika | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 24:8 | 16 | 35 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
| 7 | Akhmat Grozny | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 25 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31:26 | 5 | 24 |
| 9 | Rubin Kazan | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 23 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 22:28 | -6 | 21 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 18 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 20:37 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 15 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 13:30 | -17 | 14 |
| 16 | Sochi | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 18:44 | -26 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL