Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 39
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Chapman B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 1, Lewis D. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, Camp B. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 1, Pearson ⚽,
Chances of winning
Dorking Wanderers
29.5% | Draw
27.7% | Ebbsfleet United
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ebbsfleet United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↑
(2.38) |
3.33 ↓
(3.38) |
2.16 ↓
(2.66) |
8.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorking Wanderers won against Ebbsfleet United?
Dorking Wanderers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ebbsfleet United won against Dorking Wanderers?
Ebbsfleet United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United were as follows:
18.10.2025
Ebbsfleet United
-
Dorking Wanderers
2:1
24.02.2024
Dorking Wanderers
-
Ebbsfleet United
1:4
26.09.2023
Ebbsfleet United
-
Dorking Wanderers
0:1
Latest results of Dorking Wanderers
Latest results of Ebbsfleet United
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Worthing | 44 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 96:50 | 46 | 81 |
| 2 | Dorking | 44 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 76:57 | 19 | 78 |
| 3 | Torquay | 44 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 84:59 | 25 | 77 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 43 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 75:60 | 15 | 76 |
| 5 | Hemel Hempstead | 44 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 75 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet | 44 | 21 | 11 | 12 | 69:52 | 17 | 74 |
| 7 | Maidenhead | 44 | 21 | 10 | 13 | 65:41 | 24 | 73 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 43 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 59:47 | 12 | 73 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 44 | 20 | 11 | 13 | 67:47 | 20 | 71 |
| 10 | Chesham | 44 | 21 | 8 | 15 | 66:51 | 15 | 71 |
| 11 | Chelmsford | 43 | 20 | 9 | 14 | 67:56 | 11 | 69 |
| 12 | Dag & Red | 44 | 17 | 12 | 15 | 59:59 | 0 | 63 |
| 13 | AFC Totton | 43 | 18 | 6 | 19 | 54:70 | -16 | 60 |
| 14 | Tonbridge | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 59:62 | -3 | 57 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 43 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 56 |
| 16 | Slough | 44 | 14 | 9 | 21 | 64:80 | -16 | 51 |
| 17 | Hampton & Richmond | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 55:68 | -13 | 50 |
| 18 | Farnborough | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 65:85 | -20 | 50 |
| 19 | Dover | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58:72 | -14 | 49 |
| 20 | Salisbury | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 47:63 | -16 | 49 |
| 21 | Chippenham ✔ | 44 | 11 | 9 | 24 | 50:74 | -24 | 42 |
| 22 | Bath | 43 | 9 | 13 | 21 | 44:71 | -27 | 40 |
| 23 | Enfield Town ✔ | 44 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 50:79 | -29 | 37 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Boro ✔ | 44 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 54:86 | -32 | 33 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Chippenham is Relegated to
Enfield Town is Relegated to
Eastbourne Boro is Relegated to
