Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National League South - Round 39
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Chapman B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 50', 1 - 1, Lewis D. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, Camp B. ⚽,
- 88', 3 - 1, Pearson ⚽,
Chances of winning
Dorking Wanderers 29.5% | Draw 27.7% | Ebbsfleet United 42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ebbsfleet United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.13 ↑ (2.38) |
3.33 ↓ (3.38) |
2.16 ↓ (2.66) |
8.3% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorking Wanderers won against Ebbsfleet United?
Dorking Wanderers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ebbsfleet United won against Dorking Wanderers?
Ebbsfleet United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United were as follows:
18.10.2025
Ebbsfleet United
-
Dorking Wanderers
2:1
24.02.2024
Dorking Wanderers
-
Ebbsfleet United
1:4
26.09.2023
Ebbsfleet United
-
Dorking Wanderers
0:1
Latest results of Dorking Wanderers
Latest results of Ebbsfleet United
English National League South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dorking | 39 | 22 | 8 | 9 | 70:47 | 23 | 74 |
| 2 | Worthing | 39 | 20 | 8 | 11 | 81:43 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | Hemel Hempstead | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 5 | 67 |
| 4 | Hornchurch | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 63:52 | 11 | 66 |
| 5 | Maidenhead | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 56:35 | 21 | 65 |
| 6 | Ebbsfleet | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 61:49 | 12 | 65 |
| 7 | Torquay | 39 | 19 | 7 | 13 | 68:55 | 13 | 64 |
| 8 | Weston-super-Mare | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 52:39 | 13 | 63 |
| 9 | Maidstone | 40 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 57:42 | 15 | 61 |
| 10 | Chelmsford | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 56:47 | 9 | 60 |
| 11 | Chesham | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 51:41 | 10 | 59 |
| 12 | Dag & Red | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 51:45 | 6 | 59 |
| 13 | Tonbridge | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 53 |
| 14 | AFC Totton | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 48:62 | -14 | 53 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 46:45 | 1 | 52 |
| 16 | Slough | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 59:67 | -8 | 50 |
| 17 | Dover | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 55:58 | -3 | 49 |
| 18 | Hampton & Richmond | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 49:61 | -12 | 46 |
| 19 | Salisbury | 40 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 41:55 | -14 | 46 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 39 | 10 | 10 | 19 | 53:77 | -24 | 40 |
| 21 | Chippenham | 40 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 47:71 | -24 | 38 |
| 22 | Bath | 37 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 36:57 | -21 | 33 |
| 23 | Enfield Town | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 43:69 | -26 | 32 |
| 24 | Eastbourne Boro | 40 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 49:78 | -29 | 31 |
Promotion ~ National League
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation