Dorking Wanderers vs Ebbsfleet United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • National League South - Round 39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 39', 0 - 1, Chapman B. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Lewis D. ,
  • 61', 2 - 1, Camp B. ,
  • 88', 3 - 1, Pearson ,

Chances of winning


Dorking Wanderers
29.5%
Draw
27.7%
Ebbsfleet United
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 27.1% 34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7% 26.6% 35.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dorking Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorking Wanderers's form might have worsened.
  • Ebbsfleet United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ebbsfleet United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorking Wanderers than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorking Wanderers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ebbsfleet United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ebbsfleet United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.13
    (2.38)
    3.33
    (3.38)
    2.16
    (2.66)
    8.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dorking won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dorking won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Ebbsfleet United - Dorking Wanderers 2:1
    24.02.2024 Dorking Wanderers - Ebbsfleet United 1:4
    26.09.2023 Ebbsfleet United - Dorking Wanderers 0:1
    Latest results of Ebbsfleet United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Bye
    2Hemel Hempstead (5)Weston-super-Mare (6)1 : 2
    3Torquay (3)Bye
    4Dorking (4)Maidenhead (7)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Hornchurch (2)Weston-super-Mare (6)2 : 0
    2Torquay (3)Dorking (4)4 : 2

    Final
    1Hornchurch (2)Torquay (3)