EC Noroeste vs Atlético Monte Azul – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Paulista EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul
Result
3:1
16/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Paulista - Round 10

Match Stats

Red Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 18', 1 - 0, ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, ,
  • 30', 2 - 1, Rian Felipe ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 71', 3 - 1, ,
  • 81', 🟥,
  • 89', 🟥,

Chances of winning


EC Noroeste
43.3%
Draw
32.6%
Atlético Monte Azul
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 31.9% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 33.5% 21.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Atlético Monte Azul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.99)
    2.78
    (2.84)
    3.76
    (4.03)
    10.3%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Monte Azul is Qualified for Copa Paulista (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In recent matches, Noroeste has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Monte Azul is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Monte Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Noroeste might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul were as follows:
    09.07.2025 Atlético Monte Azul - EC Noroeste 1:0
    25.02.2024 Atlético Monte Azul - EC Noroeste 1:1
    19.02.2023 EC Noroeste - Atlético Monte Azul 1:3
    Latest results of EC Noroeste
    Latest results of Atlético Monte Azul
    Brazilian Copa Paulista Table
    Main

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gremio Prudente844012:6616
    2Monte Azul84228:7114
    3Noroeste83237:7011
    4AEA Aracatuba82248:9-18
    5Linense81255:11-65


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uniao Sao Joao1054115:10519
    2Comercial1052313:9417
    3Inter de Limeira1035217:13414
    4Francana103528:8014
    5Botafogo SP B102358:12-49
    6Itapirense1021711:20-97


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Piracicaba1073013:4924
    2Primavera1054115:9619
    3Paulista1041510:10013
    4Sao Bento1025312:14-211
    5Guarani B1022610:16-68
    6Rio Branco SP100556:13-75


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Jose EC1062219:71220
    2Portuguesa Santista1036111:8315
    3Oeste104248:10-214
    4Sao Caetano104158:11-313
    5Taubate102449:10-110
    6Santo Andre101544:13-98

          Promotion ~ Copa Paulista (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)