Result
1:1
21/01/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 4
- Referee: Delgado M. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/452) | 79% (326/415) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/452) | 79% (326/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 39% (24/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (74/124) | 61% (67/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Leo Sena ↓, Denner ↑,
- 32', Bruno Silva 🟨,
- 36', Denner 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Baianinho ↓, Felipe Azevedo ↑,
- 46', Bruno Silva ↓, Vinicius Guedes ↑,
- 49', 0 - 1, Thiago Moraes ⚽, Felipe Azevedo (A),
- 51', Lucas Dias 🟨,
- 56', Pedro Felipe ↓, Marlyson ↑,
- 56', Diego Mathias ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 70', Jhonny ↓, Wesley Santos ↑,
- 70', Pedro Carrerette ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 74', 1 - 1, Marlyson (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Leonan Santos ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
- 80', Octavio ↓, Balao ↑,
- 85', Vinicius Popo ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
Chances of winning
EC Noroeste
43% | Draw
29.7% | Capivariano
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)The chances for Capivariano have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
EC Noroeste - Capivariano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19
(2.19) |
3.12 ↑
(3.05) |
3.4 ↑
(3.37) |
7.2%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for EC Noroeste - Capivariano?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Noroeste may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Noroeste: PH
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Noroeste: Robertinho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Capivariano: Bastos R.
(Injury)
Ricardo Cerqueira
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Noroeste won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Noroeste won against Capivariano?
EC Noroeste has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Capivariano won against EC Noroeste?
Capivariano has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC Noroeste - Capivariano were as follows:
21.01.2024
EC Noroeste
-
Capivariano
2:2
Latest results of EC Noroeste
Latest results of Capivariano
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
