Result
3:3
15/02/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.71 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (396/463) | 76% (198/262) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (396/463) | 76% (198/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (40/59) | 48% (23/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (78/117) | 55% (39/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.49 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.18 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Pedro Felipe ⚽, Diego Mathias (A),
- 33', Richard Almeyda 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Ligger ⚽,
- 45+4', Pedro Felipe 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Richard Almeyda ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 46', Junior Caicara 🟨,
- 52', Paulo Baya 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Diego Mathias ⚽,
- 56', Matheus Anjos 🟨,
- 61', Diego Mathias 🟨,
- 64', Diego Mathias ↓, Leo Tocantins ↑,
- 64', Pedro Felipe ↓, Marlyson ↑,
- 69', Taua ↓, Peixoto ↑,
- 72', Paulo Baya ↓, Kauan Cunha ↑,
- 72', Welliton ↓, Josiel ↑,
- 74', Leo Tocantins 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 2, Carlao (Own goal),
- 78', 2 - 3, Marlyson ⚽,
- 78', Joao Victor ↓, Neto ↑,
- 84', Matheus Anjos ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
- 85', Sanchez ↓, Leocovick ↑,
- 85', Cristiano ↓, Igor ↑,
- 89', 3 - 3, Gabriel Poveda ⚽,
- 90+3', Gabriel Poveda 🟨,
Chances of winning
EC Primavera
44.7% | Draw
29.9% | EC Noroeste
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
EC Primavera - EC Noroeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.07) |
3.08 ↓
(3.09) |
3.68 ↑
(3.57) |
7.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for EC Primavera - EC Noroeste?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Noroeste will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).
- Recent form of Primavera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Noroeste has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Primavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Primavera will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Primavera: Luan Martins
(Yellow Cards)
Renato Vischi
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Noroeste: Leo Sena
(Injury)
Maycon
(Injury)
Thiago Lopes
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Primavera: Afonso
(Injury)
Luan Martins
(Injury)
Yuri Lima
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Primavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Primavera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Primavera won against EC Noroeste?
EC Primavera has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Noroeste won against EC Primavera?
EC Noroeste has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC Primavera - EC Noroeste were as follows:
03.02.2024
EC Primavera
-
EC Noroeste
1:2
29.01.2023
EC Noroeste
-
EC Primavera
3:0
Latest results of EC Primavera
Latest results of EC Noroeste
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
