Result
1:1
23/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 12
- Referee: Vitor Gobi J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (161/224) | 84% (344/410) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 53% (39/73) | 53% (44/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/14) | 7% (1/15) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 75% (6/8) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Felipe Rodrigues ⚽,
- 26', 1 - 1, Rildo ⚽, Taua (A),
- 45+5', Lucas Hipolito ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Barba ↓, Denis ↑,
- 60', Maceio ↓, Everton ↑,
- 61', Matheus Blade ↓, Leo Costa ↑,
- 70', Jaja ↓, Guilherme Portuga ↑,
- 71', Robson ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 82', Luiz Thiago ↓, DG ↑,
- 90+5', Adriano Filho ↓, Cicinho ↑,
Chances of winning
EC Noroeste
30.4% | Draw
30.6% | Portuguesa
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Portuguesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC Noroeste, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
EC Noroeste - Portuguesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.63) |
3.02 ↓
(3.12) |
2.38 ↓
(2.63) |
8.1%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Noroeste has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Portuguesa is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Noroeste could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Recently, the teams did not play each other.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Noroeste won against Portuguesa?
EC Noroeste has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portuguesa won against EC Noroeste?
Portuguesa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between EC Noroeste - Portuguesa were as follows:
Latest results of EC Noroeste
Latest results of Portuguesa
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
