União São João vs EC Noroeste – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Paulista União São João - EC Noroeste
Result
3:0
29/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Paulista - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Miguel B. ,
  • 16', Jeferson Romario 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', 2 - 0, Rafael Tanque (Pen),
  • 90+3', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


União São João
43.9%
Draw
28.5%
EC Noroeste
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 29.9% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 31.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • União São João has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União São João's performance.
  • EC Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC Noroeste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União São João than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União São João that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Noroeste than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • União São João - EC Noroeste Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.55)
    3.35
    (3.1)
    3.47
    (2.75)
    4.7%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • In recent matches, União São João has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Noroeste is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • União São João could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, União São João won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between União São João - EC Noroeste were as follows:
    23.08.2025 EC Noroeste - União São João 1:0
    Latest results of União São João
    Latest results of EC Noroeste
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1PiracicabaAEA Aracatuba2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Portuguesa SantistaOeste0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Gremio PrudenteSao Caetano2 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Monte AzulFrancana1 : 2, 1 : 1
    5Sao Jose ECSao Bento2 : 1, 1 : 1
    6ComercialInter de Limeira2 : 0, 0 : 1
    7Uniao Sao JoaoNoroeste3 : 0, 0 : 1
    8PrimaveraPaulista2 : 0, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PiracicabaOeste
    2Gremio PrudenteFrancana
    3Sao Jose ECComercial
    4Uniao Sao JoaoPrimavera