Result
1:2
25/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/450) | 71% (189/267) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (371/450) | 71% (189/267) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/53) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (95/137) | 54% (44/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.68 | 0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 17', 0 - 1, Welliton ⚽,
- 35', Welliton 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Afonso ⚽, Junior Caicara (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Diogo Mateus ↓, Baianinho ↑,
- 46', Bruno Silva ↓, Vinicius Guedes ↑,
- 55', Kevin ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
- 62', Baianinho 🟨,
- 66', 1 - 2, Rodolfo ⚽, Wendel Lomar (A),
- 68', Leonan Santos ↓, Matheus Guilherme ↑,
- 73', Luan Martins ↓, Paulinho ↑,
- 73', Matheus Anjos ↓, Josiel ↑,
- 82', Gabriel Poveda ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
- 82', Lucas Douglas ↓, Renato Vischi ↑,
- 82', Cassio Gabriel ↓, Vinicius Popo ↑,
- 82', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 90', Victor Hugo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Capivariano
42.6% | Draw
31.2% | EC Primavera
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Capivariano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)EC Primavera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Capivariano - EC Primavera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↓
(2.25) |
2.99 ↑
(2.98) |
3.54 ↑
(3.23) |
7.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Capivariano - EC Primavera?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Capivariano (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Capivariano won 2.
- Primavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Capivariano will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Capivariano: Ricardo Cerqueira
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Primavera: Paulo Baya
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Capivariano: Bastos R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Primavera: Yuri Lima
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Capivariano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Capivariano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Capivariano won against EC Primavera?
Capivariano has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Primavera won against Capivariano?
EC Primavera has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Capivariano - EC Primavera were as follows:
05.04.2025
EC Primavera
-
Capivariano
1:2
02.04.2025
Capivariano
-
EC Primavera
0:0
22.02.2025
Capivariano
-
EC Primavera
1:0
03.08.2024
Capivariano
-
EC Primavera
0:0
30.06.2024
EC Primavera
-
Capivariano
2:1
Latest results of Capivariano
Latest results of EC Primavera
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
