EC Primavera vs Comercial SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Copa Paulista EC Primavera - Comercial SP
Result
1:2 penalties
01/09/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Copa Paulista - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Red Cards
11
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Silva E. ,
  • 69', Bruno Lima 🟥,
  • 84', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),

Chances of winning


EC Primavera
55.5%
Draw
26.8%
Comercial SP
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 27.7% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 27% 19.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • EC Primavera - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.75)
    3.41
    (3.31)
    5.17
    (4.55)
    9.4%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between EC Primavera - Comercial SP were as follows:
    27.08.2024 Comercial SP - EC Primavera 1:1
    06.02.2024 Comercial SP - EC Primavera 0:0
    18.01.2023 EC Primavera - Comercial SP 2:0
    Latest results of EC Primavera
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Brazilian Copa Paulista Table
    2025

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monte Azul74217:4314
    2Gremio Prudente63309:4512
    3AEA Aracatuba72147:8-17
    4Linense61234:7-35
    5Noroeste61232:6-45


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Uniao Sao Joao742111:7414
    2Comercial74129:6313
    3Inter de Limeira733112:7512
    4Francana82425:6-110
    5Botafogo SP B71335:9-46
    6Itapirense81168:15-74


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Primavera853014:6818
    2Piracicaba853010:4618
    3Paulista83148:8010
    4Guarani B82157:12-57
    5Sao Bento71337:10-36
    6Rio Branco SP70341:7-63


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Jose EC861117:41319
    2Portuguesa Santista82518:6211
    3Sao Caetano83146:8-210
    4Oeste83146:9-310
    5Taubate81435:8-37
    6Santo Andre81434:11-77

          Promotion ~ Copa Paulista (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)