Caxias vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre
Result
1:1
15/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Gaucho - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
139
Shots on Goal
104
Shots off Goal
35
Corner Kicks
96
Goalkeeper Saves
39
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
  • 38', Tiago Pedra 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Pedro Cuiaba , Lorran ,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Alisson ,
  • 60', Lailson , Marcos Vinicius ,
  • 60', Kayan , Rene ,
  • 60', Jhonata Varela , Douglas Oliveira ,
  • 64', Rafael Dumas , Ghiven ,
  • 80', Gabriel Terra , Gustavo Bagatini ,
  • 80', Calyson , Guilherme Mantuan ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Douglas Oliveira ,
  • 90', Nicholas , Thiago Ennes ,
  • 90', Vinicius Guedes , Paulinho Souza ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caxias
52.6%
Draw
28.8%
EC São José Porto Alegre
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 25.7% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3% 25.2% 13.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caxias's form might have worsened.
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxias, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.53)
    3.15
    (3.58)
    4.92
    (6.54)
    9.4%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Caxias: 64.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Caxias won 2.
    • Caxias is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • EC São José is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Caxias is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Caxias won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Caxias won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre were as follows:
    28.07.2024 Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:0
    08.03.2024 Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:0
    15.02.2024 Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre 1:2
    26.01.2023 EC São José Porto Alegre - Caxias 1:1
    Latest results of Caxias
    12.02.2025 Guarany de Bagé - Caxias 0:0
    08.02.2025 Caxias - São Luiz 1:0
    05.02.2025 Avenida - Caxias 0:1
    01.02.2025 Caxias - Juventude 0:2
    29.01.2025 Caxias - Brasil de Pelotas 4:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalSER Caxias3 : 1, 2 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio2 : 2, 1 : 2

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0