Juventude vs EC São José Porto Alegre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
09/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gaucho - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.440.36
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
237
Shots on target
84
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
44
Passes
84% (320/380)60% (115/191)
Yellow cards
33
Red cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
2.440.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.14
Total shots
237
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
120
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
135
Shots outside the box
102
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3012
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
2016
Passes
84% (320/380)60% (115/191)
Long passes
70% (45/64)16% (8/50)
Passes in final third
68% (92/135)37% (22/59)
Crosses
32% (9/28)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.44
Throw ins
2615
Fouls
1620
Tackles
40% (6/15)75% (9/12)
Duels won
6448
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.142.15
Goals prevented
-0.86-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Diney 🟨,
  • 31', Fabio Rampi , Peralta A. ,
  • 42', Keverton 🟨,
  • 45+1', Keverton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 48', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
  • 52', 0 - 1, Diney , Ronald Barcellos (A),
  • 54', Marcos Paulo , Juan Christian ,
  • 59', Diney , Dieter ,
  • 59', Andrey Nunes , Lucas Grafite ,
  • 59', Lucas Mineiro , Marcos Paulo ,
  • 60', Rai Ramos , Leo Indio ,
  • 60', Messias , Castro M. ,
  • 67', Ronald Barcellos , Raphael Soares ,
  • 70', 0 - 2, Lucas Grafite ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Mandaca ,
  • 86', Alisson Safira , Ray Breno ,
  • 86', Pablo Roberto , Emerson Galego ,
  • 87', Lucas Grafite , Douglas Oliveira ,
  • 88', Ze Vitor , Caua ,
  • 90', Ray Breno 🟨,
  • 90+10', 2 - 2, Gabriel Taliari (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+11', 3 - 2, Ray Breno ,
  • 90+14', Ray Breno 🟨,
  • 90+20', Pablo Roberto 🟥,
  • 90+21', Douglas Oliveira 🟥,

Chances of winning


Juventude
62.4%
Draw
24.2%
EC São José Porto Alegre
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 23.1% 10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 22.4% 10.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Juventude, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.38)
    3.81
    (3.95)
    6.89
    (8.6)
    9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.
    • Juventude is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • EC São José has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • EC São José may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Juventude is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Juventude will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 0.9:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Juventude - EC São José Porto Alegre 3:1
    27.01.2024 EC São José Porto Alegre - Juventude 1:0
    13.02.2023 EC São José Porto Alegre - Juventude 1:1
    Latest results of Juventude
    31.01.2026 Grêmio - Juventude 1:1
    25.01.2026 Juventude - Monsoon 3:0
    22.01.2026 Juventude - Caxias 1:0
    14.01.2026 Novo Hamburgo - Juventude 1:1
    Latest results of EC São José Porto Alegre
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1InternacionalSao Luiz3 : 1
    2SER CaxiasYpiranga FC0 : 2
    3JuventudeEC Sao Jose3 : 2
    4GremioNovo Hamburgo1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1InternacionalYpiranga FC4 : 0, 3 : 0
    2JuventudeGremio1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Final
    1InternacionalGremio