Result
5:1
28/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- South American Championship Women U20 - Final Group
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
 Bolivia | Tigo Sports 3 |
 Chile | DirecTV Sports |
 Ecuador | DirecTV Sports |
 North-central-america | DirecTV Sports Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | DirecTV Sports |
 South-america | DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (271/356) | 57% (100/175) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (271/356) | 57% (100/175) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (25/54) | 33% (17/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (94/143) | 44% (28/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 79% (23/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -2.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Guerra M. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Bareiro A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', 2 - 1, Pico F. ⚽,
- 43', 3 - 1, Guerra M. ⚽, Camacho N. (A),
- 45+9', 4 - 1, Guerra M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 83', 5 - 1, Alcivar X. ⚽, Burgos Cedeno E. E. (A),
Chances of winning
Ecuador U20 W
40.3% | Draw
28% | Paraguay U20 W
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ecuador U20 W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Paraguay U20 W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ecuador U20 W than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraguay U20 W than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Ecuador U20 W - Paraguay U20 W Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.19) |
2.84 ↓
(3.1) |
2.51 ↓
(2.9) |
25.6%
(12.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ecuador U20 W - Paraguay U20 W?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ecuador U20 (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Paraguay U20 (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ecuador U20 (votes: 1 - 50%). Paraguay U20 (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Paraguay U20 is Qualified for World Cup Women U20
- Ecuador U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Paraguay U20 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ecuador U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ecuador U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ecuador U20 W won against Paraguay U20 W?
Ecuador U20 W has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paraguay U20 W won against Ecuador U20 W?
Paraguay U20 W has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ecuador U20 W - Paraguay U20 W were as follows:
11.04.2024
Ecuador U20 W
-
Paraguay U20 W
0:1
Latest results of Ecuador U20 W
Latest results of Paraguay U20 W
South American Championship U20 Women Table
Final Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Brazil U20 W ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Paraguay U20 W ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 3 | Colombia U20 W ✔ | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
| 4 | Argentina U20 W | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Venezuela U20 W | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Peru U20 W | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:16 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ World Cup Women U20
Clinched Spots for Teams
Brazil U20 W is Qualified for World Cup Women U20
Paraguay U20 W is Qualified for World Cup Women U20
Colombia U20 W is Qualified for World Cup Women U20
