Paraguay vs Ecuador, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Paraguay - Ecuador
Result
0:0
04/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Championship - Qualification - Round 17
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 4
australiaAustraliaSBS On Demand
boliviaBoliviaENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1
chinaChinaZhiBo8
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayCanal Trece, GEN, POPU
peruPeruMovistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, AUFTV, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.24
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
76
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
70% (176/250)85% (372/437)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.630.24
xG on target (xGOT)
0.430.01
Total shots
76
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
11
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
43
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
814
Passes
70% (176/250)85% (372/437)
Long passes
34% (17/50)39% (14/36)
Passes in final third
47% (32/68)65% (32/49)
Crosses
17% (3/18)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.19
Throw-ins
1616
Fouls
158
Tackles
68% (15/22)53% (8/15)
Duels won
5749
Clearances
1425
Interceptions
107
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.010.43
Goals prevented
0.010.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Alonso J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Vite P. 🟨,
  • 61', Martinez R. , Galarza M. ,
  • 63', Beccacece S. 🟨,
  • 65', Cubas A. 🟨,
  • 70', Valencia E. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 70', Paez K. , Plata G. ,
  • 77', Sosa R. , Kaku ,
  • 78', Almiron M. 🟨,
  • 85', Angulo N. , Minda A. ,
  • 85', Estupinan P. , Torres F. ,
  • 85', Sanabria A. , Arce A. ,
  • 85', Cubas A. , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 90+3', Vite P. , Mercado J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paraguay
38.4%
Draw
35%
Ecuador
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39% 32.1% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paraguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Paraguay - Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.44)
    2.74
    (2.97)
    3.61
    (3.29)
    5%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
  • What is the prediction for Paraguay - Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Paraguay will win (votes: 29 - 59.2%). Ecuador will win (votes: 6 - 12.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paraguay: 45.4%73%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paraguay will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).
    • Ecuador is Qualified for World Championship
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paraguay won 2.
    • Paraguay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Paraguay won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paraguay - Ecuador were as follows:
    10.10.2024 Ecuador - Paraguay 0:0
    Latest results of Paraguay
    10.06.2025 Brazil - Paraguay 1:0
    05.06.2025 Paraguay - Uruguay 2:0
    25.03.2025 Colombia - Paraguay 2:2
    20.03.2025 Paraguay - Chile 1:0
    19.11.2024 Bolivia - Paraguay 2:2
    Latest results of Ecuador
    10.06.2025 Peru - Ecuador 0:0
    05.06.2025 Ecuador - Brazil 0:0
    25.03.2025 Chile - Ecuador 0:0
    21.03.2025 Ecuador - Venezuela 2:1
    19.11.2024 Colombia - Ecuador 0:1
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

          Promotion ~ World Championship
          Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: )