Edas Butvilas vs Joel Schwaerzler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/04/2026 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
114
Double Faults
52
1st serve percentage
66%66%
1st serve points won
70% (48/69)72% (44/61)
2nd serve points won
47% (17/36)69% (22/32)
Break Points Saved
4/66/8
1st return points won
28% (17/61)33% (23/69)
2nd return points won
31% (10/32)53% (19/36)
Break Points Converted
2/82/6
Winners
3731
Unforced errors
4037
Net points won
75% (6/8)53% (10/19)
Service Points Won
62% (65/105)70% (62/89)
Return Points Won
30% (27/89)38% (40/105)
Total Points Won
47% (92/194)53% (102/194)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
87% (13/15)87% (13/15)
Return games won
13% (2/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Edas Butvilas
43.9%
Joel Schwaerzler
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Edas Butvilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Joel Schwaerzler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joel Schwaerzler than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joel Schwaerzler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Edas Butvilas - Joel Schwaerzler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.92)

    1.67
    (1.77)
    6.9%
    (8.6%)
    What is the prediction for Edas Butvilas - Joel Schwaerzler?
  • Users Predictions: Joel Schwaerzler will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Joel Schwaerzler will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Butvilas is ranked ATP: 268. Schwaerzler is ranked ATP: 174.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Schwaerzler may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Edas Butvilas