Ospreys vs Edinburgh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union United Rugby Championship Ospreys - Edinburgh
Result
22:13
26/10/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC

Match Stats

Tries
31
Conversion Goals
21
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
12
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 10)
  • 3', Lake D. (Try),
  • 5', Williams O. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Thompson R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 23', Vellacott B. (Try),
  • 23', Thompson R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (15 - 3)
  • 41', Morgan-Williams R. 🟨,
  • 47', Ritchie J. 🟨,
  • 52', Thomas G. (Try),
  • 60', Williams O. (Penalty Goal),
  • 66', Thompson R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 74', Parry S. (Try),
  • 75', Williams O. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Ospreys
46.1%
Draw
4.5%
Edinburgh
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.9% 4.3% 65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 4.8% 58.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ospreys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ospreys's performance.
  • Edinburgh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Edinburgh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ospreys than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ospreys that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Edinburgh than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Edinburgh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ospreys - Edinburgh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (3.1)
    20.41
    (21.7)
    1.85
    (1.4)
    8.8%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Ospreys - Edinburgh?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ospreys will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Edinburgh will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:24.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ospreys won 3.
    • Ospreys is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Edinburgh is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ospreys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Ospreys won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 375:315 (average 23.4:19.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ospreys won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 228:97 (average 32.6:13.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ospreys - Edinburgh were as follows:
    01.03.2024 Edinburgh - Ospreys 19:15
    15.04.2023 Edinburgh - Ospreys 45:21
    Latest results of Ospreys
    18.10.2024 Ulster - Ospreys 36:12
    12.10.2024 Ospreys - Blue Bulls 19:29
    05.10.2024 Munster - Ospreys 23:0
    28.09.2024 Ospreys - Stormers 37:24
    Latest results of Edinburgh
    19.10.2024 Edinburgh - Cardiff Rugby 27:8
    12.10.2024 Edinburgh - Stormers 38:7
    05.10.2024 Lions - Edinburgh 55:21
    28.09.2024 Blue Bulls - Edinburgh 22:16
    20.09.2024 Edinburgh - Leinster 31:33
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leinster (1)Scarlets (8)33 : 21
    2Glasgow Warriors (4)Stormers (5)36 : 18
    3Bulls (2)Edinburgh (7)42 : 33
    4Sharks (3)Munster (6)25 : 24

    Semi-finals
    1Leinster (1)Glasgow Warriors (4)37 : 19
    2Bulls (2)Sharks (3)25 : 13

    Final
    1Leinster (1)Bulls (2)32 : 7