Eduardo Ribeiro vs Nicolas Moreno De Alboran – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
02/03/2026 at 10:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brasilia 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
65
Double Faults
25
1st serve percentage
68%63%
1st serve points won
73% (45/62)66% (48/73)
2nd serve points won
48% (14/29)45% (19/42)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)76% (13/17)
1st return points won
34% (25/73)27% (17/62)
2nd return points won
55% (23/42)52% (15/29)
Break Points Converted
24% (4/17)43% (3/7)
Winners
4027
Unforced errors
4642
Net points won
100% (7/7)50% (7/14)
Service Points Won
65% (59/91)58% (67/115)
Return Points Won
42% (48/115)35% (32/91)
Total Points Won
52% (107/206)48% (99/206)
Last 10 balls
91
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (12/15)73% (11/15)
Return games won
27% (4/15)20% (3/15)
Total games won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Eduardo Ribeiro
33.4%
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2% 59.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Eduardo Ribeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eduardo Ribeiro's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eduardo Ribeiro than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eduardo Ribeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Eduardo Ribeiro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.78
    (1.94)

    1.4
    (1.8)
    7.5%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Eduardo Ribeiro - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Moreno De Alboran (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nicolas Moreno De Alboran will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Moreno De Alboran (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ribeiro is ranked ATP: 453. Moreno De Alboran is ranked ATP: 632.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Moreno De Alboran may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Boyer T.2 : 0
    2Meligeni Alves F.Schiessl J. E. (Q)0 : 2
    3Diaz Acosta F. (SE)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 0
    4Miguel G. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (6)2 : 0
    5Faria J. (3)Cadenasso G.2 : 1
    6Ribeiro E. (Q)Roncadelli F. (Q)2 : 0
    7Marcondes I. (WC)Sakamoto P. (Q)2 : 1
    8Heide G.Galan D. E. (7)2 : 1
    9Rocha H. (5)Agamenone F.2 : 0
    10Sanchez Jover C. (Q)Tobon M. (WC)2 : 1
    11Reis Da Silva J.Soto M.2 : 1
    12Prado Angelo J. C.Den Ouden G. (4)2 : 0
    13Guillen Meza A. (8)Damas M.0 : 2
    14Monteiro T.Dutra Da Silva D. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Torrealba B. (Q)Varillas J. P.0 : 2
    16Boscardin Dias P.Moller E. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Schiessl J. E.2 : 0
    2Diaz Acosta F.Miguel G.2 : 0
    3Faria J. (3)Ribeiro E.0 : 2
    4Marcondes I.Heide G.1 : 2
    5Rocha H. (5)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    6Reis Da Silva J.Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    7Damas M.Monteiro T.0 : 2
    8Varillas J. P.Boscardin Dias P.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    2Ribeiro E.Heide G.2 : 1
    3Rocha H. (5)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0
    4Monteiro T.Boscardin Dias P.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Vallejo D. (1)Ribeiro E.2 : 0
    2Rocha H. (5)Monteiro T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Vallejo D. (1)Rocha H. (5)0 : 2